FDFCD

15:00Sun 11 Oct

RES

FC Differdange 03 vs Residence Walferdange

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Division Nationale, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Municipal de la Ville de Differdange.

What's at stake. FC Differdange 03 are 2nd on 21 points after 8 games, 3 points behind UNA Strassen, 3 points clear of US Mondorf-les-bains. A win would take them level on points with UNA Strassen. Residence Walferdange are 8th on 15 points after 8 games, level on points with Atert Bissen, 4 points clear of US Hostert. A win would take them above Atert Bissen.

Form. FC Differdange 03 have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Residence Walferdange have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L.

The numbers. FC Differdange 03 score 2.2 and concede 0.2 a game in their last six at home, with five clean sheets. FC Differdange 03 average 15.8 shots (6.8 on target), 8.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Residence Walferdange score 1.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Residence Walferdange average 5.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game.

The case against. Residence Walferdange's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. FC Differdange 03 to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Differdange 03 the likelier winners; FC Differdange 03 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Differdange 03. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Residence Walferdange Under 1.5 goals (Residence Walferdange's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Differdange 03 2-1 Residence Walferdange (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCD 5 of 5 (100%) · RES 9 of 9 (100%)94%

FC Differdange 03: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Residence Walferdange: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · FC Differdange 03: only games against sides at Residence Walferdange's level · Residence Walferdange: only games against sides at FC Differdange 03's level

FC DIFFERDANGE 03 GOALS

FC Differdange 03 Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCD 5 of 5 (100%) · RES 7 of 9 (78%)82.9%

FC Differdange 03 scored in 5 of 5 at home · Residence Walferdange conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · FC Differdange 03: only games against sides at Residence Walferdange's level · Residence Walferdange: only games against sides at FC Differdange 03's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.18

FCD 4 of 5 (80%) · RES 9 of 9 (100%)91.3%

FC Differdange 03: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Residence Walferdange: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · on half-time scores · FC Differdange 03: only games against sides at Residence Walferdange's level · Residence Walferdange: only games against sides at FC Differdange 03's level

Left off the list: Residence Walferdange Under 1.5 goals (Residence Walferdange's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.5%

FC Differdange 03 goals →

Residence Walferdange goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-16%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC DIFFERDANGE 03DLLWWWWWWW2.20 PPG

RESIDENCE WALFERDANGEWDWLWLWLWW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC DIFFERDANGE 03 HOMExRESIDENCE WALFERDANGE AWAY

2.00SCORED A GAME1.800.80CONCEDED A GAME1.1060%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE25%8.25CORNERS A GAME5.002.25CARDS A GAME0.00

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

82%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 85/90

FC DIFFERDANGE 03 OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

RESIDENCE WALFERDANGE OR DRAW

37%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

FC Differdange 03 have scored in 90% of their games.

Residence Walferdange have scored in 80% of their games.

FC Differdange 03 kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

Residence Walferdange kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards