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MALTA - PREMIER LEAGUE
Hamrun Spartans FC crestHSHAM
14:30Sun 11 Oct
HIBHibernians FC Paola crestHF

Hamrun Spartans FC vs Hibernians FC Paola

CLASS D
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
84
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class D
Hamrun Spartans FC crestHSvHibernians FC Paola crestHF
Double Chance: Hamrun Spartans FC…
Hamrun Spartans FC v Hibernians FC Paola
Malta - Premier League · 14:30
1.15odds
87%book
-3edge
2/2angles
THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola, a neutral ground.

What's at stake. Hamrun Spartans FC are 6th on 10 points after 6 games, level on points with Birkirkara, level on points with Sliema Wanderers. A win would take them above Birkirkara. Hibernians FC Paola are 10th on 5 points after 6 games, level on points with Zabbar St. Patrick, 4 points clear of Gzira United. A win would take them above Zabbar St. Patrick.

Form. Hamrun Spartans FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L. Hibernians FC Paola have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L.

The numbers. Hamrun Spartans FC score 1.4 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Hamrun Spartans FC average 11.5 shots (4.9 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Hibernians FC Paola score 0.8 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Hibernians FC Paola average 8.3 shots (2.9 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Hamrun Spartans FC have won six, drawn one and lost two. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Hamrun Spartans FC won three and Hibernians FC Paola won one. The last time they met, on 18 Feb 2026, it finished Hamrun Spartans FC 1-0 Hibernians FC Paola.

The case against. Hibernians FC Paola's record still gives them 25% to win.

The read. Hamrun Spartans FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Hamrun Spartans FC the likelier winners; Hamrun Spartans FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Hamrun Spartans FC; the meetings favour Hamrun Spartans FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Hamrun Spartans FC or Draw at 1.15, 81% on the records (Hamrun Spartans FC unbeaten in 6 of 8; Hibernians FC Paola failed to win 8 of 10). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.37. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Hamrun Spartans FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Hamrun Spartans FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Hamrun Spartans FC 1-0 Hibernians FC Paola (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Hamrun Spartans FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HAM 8 of 8 (100%) · HIB 10 of 10 (100%)90.1%
Hamrun Spartans FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hibernians FC Paola: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · Hamrun Spartans FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Hamrun Spartans FC's level
Double Chance: Hamrun Spartans FC or DrawMAININ CODES
1.15
HAM 6 of 8 (75%) · HIB 8 of 10 (80%)83.5%
Hamrun Spartans FC unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hibernians FC Paola failed to win 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 4 of 6 · Hamrun Spartans FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Hamrun Spartans FC's level
Hamrun Spartans FC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
HAM 4 of 5 (80%) · HIB 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Hamrun Spartans FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Hibernians FC Paola trailed or failed to win in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hamrun Spartans FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Hamrun Spartans FC's level
Hamrun Spartans FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
HAM 6 of 8 (75%) · HIB 7 of 10 (70%)78.3%
Hamrun Spartans FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hibernians FC Paola: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 5 of 6 · Hamrun Spartans FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Hamrun Spartans FC's level
Hamrun Spartans FC (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.21
HAM 4 of 6 (67%) · HIB 5 of 7 (71%)77.5%
Hamrun Spartans FC won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Hibernians FC Paola lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 4 of 6 · Hamrun Spartans FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Hamrun Spartans FC's level · won 9, refunded 6, lost 5
Hamrun Spartans FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HAM 3 of 5 (60%) · HIB 3 of 5 (60%)56.7%
Hamrun Spartans FC scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 at home · Hibernians FC Paola trailed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hamrun Spartans FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Hamrun Spartans FC's level
Hamrun Spartans FC to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.55
HAM 4 of 8 (50%) · HIB 5 of 10 (50%)53.6%
Hamrun Spartans FC won 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hibernians FC Paola lost 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 4 of 6 · Hamrun Spartans FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Hamrun Spartans FC's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HAM 8 of 8 (100%) · HIB 10 of 10 (100%)97.3%
Hamrun Spartans FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hibernians FC Paola: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Hamrun Spartans FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Hamrun Spartans FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HAM 7 of 8 (88%) · HIB 9 of 10 (90%)92.6%
Hamrun Spartans FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hibernians FC Paola: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 6 of 6 · Hamrun Spartans FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Hamrun Spartans FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.37
HAM 7 of 8 (88%) · HIB 8 of 10 (80%)75.9%
Hamrun Spartans FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hibernians FC Paola: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 6 of 6 · Hamrun Spartans FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Hamrun Spartans FC's level
HAMRUN SPARTANS FC GOALS
Hamrun Spartans FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HAM 6 of 8 (75%) · HIB 7 of 10 (70%)80.9%
Hamrun Spartans FC scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hibernians FC Paola conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 5 of 6 · Hamrun Spartans FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Hamrun Spartans FC's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HAM 7 of 8 (88%) · HIB 9 of 10 (90%)87.4%
Hamrun Spartans FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hibernians FC Paola: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Hamrun Spartans FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Hamrun Spartans FC's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HAM 8 of 8 (100%) · HIB 5 of 9 (56%)77.8%
Hamrun Spartans FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hibernians FC Paola's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Hamrun Spartans FC: only games against sides at Hibernians FC Paola's level · Hibernians FC Paola: only games against sides at Hamrun Spartans FC's level
Left off the list: Hamrun Spartans FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Hamrun Spartans FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 14.4%
Hamrun Spartans FC goals →
Hibernians FC Paola goals ↓
0-011%
1-014%
2-011%
3-06%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-23%
1-25%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-30.8%
1-31%
2-30.9%
3-30.5%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.2%
1-40.2%
2-40.2%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
HAMRUN SPARTANS FCDWDLLLDWWW1.50 PPG
HIBERNIANS FC PAOLALDWLWLDLDL0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
HAMRUN SPARTANS FC HOMExHIBERNIANS FC PAOLA AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME0.801.00CONCEDED A GAME1.5020%CLEAN SHEETS30%33%FAILED TO SCORE50%6.00CORNERS A GAME6.111.70CARDS A GAME2.44
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
HIBERNIANS FC PAOLA 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.67POINTS A GAME0.83+0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.83+0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.02.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.46LEAGUE GAMES6
Hamrun Spartans FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
HAMRUN SPARTANS FC 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
83%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
22%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
HAMRUN SPARTANS FC OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
HIBERNIANS FC PAOLA OR DRAW
51%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HAMRUN SPARTANS FCxHIBERNIANS FC PAOLA
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME0.400.80CONCEDED A GAME1.802.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
HAMRUN SPARTANS FC 6 · 67%DRAW 1HIBERNIANS FC PAOLA 2 · 22%
4 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-01-08Hamrun Spartans FC 1 – 0 Hibernians FC Paola
2024-01-20Hamrun Spartans FC 2 – 1 Hibernians FC Paola
2024-05-04Hamrun Spartans FC 1 – 1 Hibernians FC Paola
2024-10-02Hamrun Spartans FC 0 – 2 Hibernians FC Paola
2024-12-21Hamrun Spartans FC 3 – 0 Hibernians FC Paola
2025-01-19Hamrun Spartans FC 2 – 1 Hibernians FC Paola
2025-05-14Hamrun Spartans FC 1 – 2 Hibernians FC Paola
2025-09-27Hamrun Spartans FC 2 – 0 Hibernians FC Paola
TRENDS
Hamrun Spartans FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Hibernians FC Paola have scored in 50% of their games.
Hamrun Spartans FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Hibernians FC Paola kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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