FDFCD

14:00Sun 11 Oct

SPT

FC Domagnano vs SP Tre Penne

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Campionato Sammarinese, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. FC Domagnano are 9th on 6 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Cosmos, 3 points clear of Juvenes / Dogana. A win would take them above Cosmos. SP Tre Penne are 3rd on 12 points after 4 games, level on points with Tre Fiori, 2 points clear of Virtus. A win would take them above Tre Fiori.

Form. FC Domagnano have won two, drawn none and lost two of their last four league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last four in the league, newest first: L L W W. SP Tre Penne have won four, drawn none and lost none of their last four league games, 3.0 points a game. Their last four in the league, newest first: W W W W.

The numbers. FC Domagnano score 1.8 and concede 1.5 a game over their last four, with one clean sheet. FC Domagnano average 11.7 shots (4.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game. SP Tre Penne score 2.2 and concede 0.5 a game over their last four, with three clean sheets. SP Tre Penne average 10.5 shots (3.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.2 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Domagnano have won one, drawn four and lost five. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, two were drawn and SP Tre Penne won two. The last time they met, on 16 May 2026, it finished FC Domagnano 1-3 SP Tre Penne.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. FC Domagnano's record still gives them 21% to win.

The read. SP Tre Penne to win. SP Tre Penne are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SP Tre Penne; the meetings favour SP Tre Penne.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Domagnano 0-1 SP Tre Penne (9% chance).

The agreed story. SP Tre Penne or the draw, goals in between.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

SP Tre Penne or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 4 of 5 (80%) · FCD 6 of 7 (86%)78.5%

SP Tre Penne scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Domagnano trailed or failed to win in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at FC Domagnano's level · FC Domagnano: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level

Double Chance: Draw or SP Tre PenneLEANHELD · the odds board 88%

1.14

SPT 8 of 9 (89%) · FCD 5 of 9 (56%)66.7%

SP Tre Penne unbeaten in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Domagnano failed to win 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 6 of 6 · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at FC Domagnano's level · FC Domagnano: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level

SP Tre Penne or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 9 of 9 (100%) · FCD 5 of 9 (56%)61.3%

SP Tre Penne: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Domagnano: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 6 · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at FC Domagnano's level · FC Domagnano: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level

SP Tre Penne or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 5 of 9 (56%) · FCD 9 of 9 (100%)61.2%

SP Tre Penne: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Domagnano: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 6 · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at FC Domagnano's level · FC Domagnano: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level

SP Tre Penne (Draw No Bet)LEANHELD · the odds board 85%

1.18

SPT 5 of 6 (83%) · FCD 5 of 9 (56%)50.6%

SP Tre Penne won 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · FC Domagnano lost 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 4 of 4 · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at FC Domagnano's level · FC Domagnano: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · won 4, refunded 2, lost 3

SP Tre Penne 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 3 of 5 (60%) · FCD 3 of 7 (43%)40.8%

SP Tre Penne scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Domagnano trailed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at FC Domagnano's level · FC Domagnano: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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FCD 9 of 9 (100%) · SPT 7 of 9 (78%)92.1%

FC Domagnano: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Penne: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Domagnano: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at FC Domagnano's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCD 9 of 9 (100%) · SPT 8 of 9 (89%)87.6%

FC Domagnano: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Penne: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · FC Domagnano: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at FC Domagnano's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCD 6 of 9 (67%) · SPT 7 of 9 (78%)73.1%

FC Domagnano: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Penne: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 3 of 6 · FC Domagnano: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at FC Domagnano's level

SP TRE PENNE GOALS

SP Tre Penne Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 6 of 9 (67%) · FCD 8 of 9 (89%)72.8%

SP Tre Penne scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Domagnano conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 6 · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at FC Domagnano's level · FC Domagnano: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCD 8 of 9 (89%) · SPT 7 of 9 (78%)83.3%

FC Domagnano: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Penne: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Domagnano: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at FC Domagnano's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCD 4 of 6 (67%) · SPT 6 of 7 (86%)76.2%

FC Domagnano's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Penne's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · FC Domagnano: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at FC Domagnano's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 8.7%

FC Domagnano goals →

SP Tre Penne goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

FC DOMAGNANOLWLWLWWWLL1.50 PPG

SP TRE PENNEDDDLWWWWWW2.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC DOMAGNANO HOMExSP TRE PENNE AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME1.501.50CONCEDED A GAME0.6010%CLEAN SHEETS50%25%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.43CORNERS A GAME5.621.57CARDS A GAME3.25

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

65%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

88%

OKAY · 85/90

FC DOMAGNANO OR DRAW

34%

NO · 80/85

SP TRE PENNE OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

FC DOMAGNANO 1 · 10%DRAW 4SP TRE PENNE 5 · 50%

5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-02-04FC Domagnano 1 – 2 SP Tre Penne

2023-11-25FC Domagnano 0 – 0 SP Tre Penne

2024-03-10FC Domagnano 2 – 0 SP Tre Penne

2024-09-29FC Domagnano 0 – 0 SP Tre Penne

2025-02-01FC Domagnano 1 – 3 SP Tre Penne

2025-09-23FC Domagnano 0 – 3 SP Tre Penne

2025-10-21FC Domagnano 2 – 2 SP Tre Penne

2025-11-08FC Domagnano 0 – 0 SP Tre Penne

TRENDS

FC Domagnano have scored in 80% of their games.

SP Tre Penne have scored in 70% of their games.

FC Domagnano kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

SP Tre Penne kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards