NLNKL

14:00Sun 11 Oct

NKV

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. HNL, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb. The referee is Patrik Pavlesic.

What's at stake. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 7th on 7 points after 8 games, 5 points behind Istra 1961, level on points with NK Slaven Belupo. NK Varazdin are 4th on 15 points after 8 games, 1 point behind NK Osijek, 1 point clear of HNK Rijeka. A win would take them above NK Osijek.

Form. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. NK Varazdin have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D W.

The numbers. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb score 1.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb average 7.0 shots (2.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.3 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. NK Varazdin score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. NK Varazdin average 13.0 shots (4.9 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have won two, drawn three and lost three. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb won one, two were drawn and NK Varazdin won one. The last time they met, on 9 May 2026, it finished NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 NK Varazdin.

The case against. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's record still gives them 21% to win.

The read. NK Varazdin to win. A tight game. NK Varazdin are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour NK Varazdin. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: NK Varazdin or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); NK Varazdin or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 NK Varazdin (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

NK Varazdin win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.20

NKL 6 of 8 (75%) · NKV 8 of 9 (89%)80.8%

NK Varazdin: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 4 of 6 · NK Varazdin: only games against sides at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's level · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Varazdin's level

NK Varazdin or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.26

NKL 6 of 8 (75%) · NKV 7 of 9 (78%)78.3%

NK Varazdin: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 6 of 6 · NK Varazdin: only games against sides at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's level · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Varazdin's level

Double Chance: Draw or NK VarazdinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.34

NKL 7 of 8 (88%) · NKV 7 of 9 (78%)67.7%

NK Varazdin unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb failed to win 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 6 · NK Varazdin: only games against sides at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's level · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Varazdin's level

NK Varazdin 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.57

NKL 3 of 5 (60%) · NKV 6 of 8 (75%)67.2%

NK Varazdin scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb trailed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · NK Varazdin: only games against sides at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's level · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Varazdin's level

NK Varazdin (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.57

NKL 4 of 5 (80%) · NKV 5 of 7 (71%)61.7%

NK Varazdin won 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 2 of 4 · NK Varazdin: only games against sides at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's level · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Varazdin's level · won 2, refunded 2, lost 3

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKL 9 of 9 (100%) · NKV 8 of 8 (100%)95.9%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · NK Varazdin: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Varazdin's level · NK Varazdin: only games against sides at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKL 6 of 9 (67%) · NKV 7 of 8 (88%)89.7%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · NK Varazdin: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · H2H 5 of 6 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Varazdin's level · NK Varazdin: only games against sides at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's level

NK LOKOMOTIVA ZAGREB GOALS

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.43

NKL 6 of 9 (67%) · NKV 6 of 8 (75%)61.1%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb scored under 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · NK Varazdin conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Varazdin's level · NK Varazdin: only games against sides at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's level

NK VARAZDIN GOALS

NK Varazdin Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.21

NKL 6 of 8 (75%) · NKV 8 of 9 (89%)75.3%

NK Varazdin scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 4 of 6 · NK Varazdin: only games against sides at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's level · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Varazdin's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKL 8 of 9 (89%) · NKV 7 of 8 (88%)88.2%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · NK Varazdin's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Varazdin's level · NK Varazdin: only games against sides at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's level

Left off the list: NK Varazdin or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); NK Varazdin or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); NK Varazdin or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (69%) and the records (93%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb goals →

NK Varazdin goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

NK LOKOMOTIVA ZAGREBDWWLLLLWDL1.10 PPG

NK VARAZDINLWWWLWDWDD1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NK LOKOMOTIVA ZAGREB HOMExNK VARAZDIN AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.701.60CONCEDED A GAME0.9020%CLEAN SHEETS50%25%FAILED TO SCORE25%4.00CORNERS A GAME4.603.33CARDS A GAME1.400.96xG1.802.00xG AGAINST0.66

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.88POINTS A GAME2.00-0.62GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.17-9.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.40.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.88LEAGUE GAMES6

NK Varazdin: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

NK VARAZDIN 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

79%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

45%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

72%

NO · 85/90

NK LOKOMOTIVA ZAGREB OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

NK VARAZDIN OR DRAW

65%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

NK LOKOMOTIVA ZAGREBxNK VARAZDIN

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.202.40CONCEDED A GAME0.403.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.8–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8

NK LOKOMOTIVA ZAGREB 2 · 25%DRAW 3NK VARAZDIN 3 · 38%

5 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED

5 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-09-01NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 – 1 NK Varazdin

2024-11-23NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 – 1 NK Varazdin

2025-02-21NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 – 0 NK Varazdin

2025-04-26NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 – 2 NK Varazdin

2025-09-20NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 – 0 NK Varazdin

2025-12-07NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2 – 4 NK Varazdin

2026-03-07NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 – 1 NK Varazdin

2026-05-09NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 – 1 NK Varazdin

TRENDS

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have scored in 70% of their games.

NK Varazdin have scored in 70% of their games.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

NK Varazdin kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards