Port FC vs Pattani FC
Match details. Thai League 1, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at PAT Stadium, Bangkok.
What's at stake. Port FC are 8th on 6 points after 3 games, level on points with Bangkok United, 1 point clear of BG Pathum United. A win would take them above Bangkok United. Pattani FC are 11th on 4 points after 3 games, level on points with Chiangrai United, 1 point clear of Sisaket United. A win would take them above Chiangrai United.
Form. Port FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. Pattani FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L.
The numbers. Port FC score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Port FC average 10.5 shots (4.0 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Pattani FC score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Pattani FC average 8.5 shots (2.4 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 83% against the records' 48%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The read. No firm call: Port FC are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Port FC the likelier winners; Port FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Port FC.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Pattani FC Under 1.5 goals (Pattani FC's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (Port FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Port FC 1-1 Pattani FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).