Ulinzi Stars FC vs Tusker Football Club
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 1. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Ulinzi Stars FC are 4th on 0 points after 0 games, 1 point behind APS Bomet, level on points with Tusker. A win would take them above APS Bomet. Tusker Football Club are 5th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Ulinzi Stars, level on points with GOR Mahia. A win would take them above Ulinzi Stars.
Form. Ulinzi Stars FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D. In this competition Ulinzi Stars FC have gone W W W L D W. Tusker Football Club have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L. In this competition Tusker Football Club have gone D L L W.
The numbers. Ulinzi Stars FC score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Ulinzi Stars FC average 10.7 shots (3.3 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Tusker Football Club score one and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Tusker Football Club average 7.4 shots (2.0 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Ulinzi Stars FC have won two, drawn three and lost five. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Ulinzi Stars FC won one and Tusker Football Club won three. The last time they met, on 27 May 2026, it finished Ulinzi Stars FC 2-0 Tusker Football Club.
Where it pulls both ways. Ulinzi Stars FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Tusker Football Club: in the last ten meetings, Ulinzi Stars FC won two, Tusker Football Club won five and three were drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 26%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.13, 92% on the records (Ulinzi Stars FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8; Tusker Football Club: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Leave: Ulinzi Stars FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Tusker Football Club or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ulinzi Stars FC 1-1 Tusker Football Club (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).