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GHANA - PREMIER LEAGUE
Hearts of Oak crestHOHEA
16:00Sun 11 Oct
PORPort City FC crestPC

Hearts of Oak vs Port City FC

CLASS D
Pick cardFull analysisShare
THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at WAFA Park, Sogakope.

What's at stake. Hearts of Oak are 6th on 8 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Basake Holy Stars, level on points with Heart of Lions. A win would take them above Basake Holy Stars. Port City FC are 3rd on 10 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Samartex, level on points with Aduana Stars. A win would take them above Samartex.

Form. Hearts of Oak have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. Port City FC have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D.

The numbers. Hearts of Oak score 1.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Hearts of Oak average 7.4 shots (3.0 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Port City FC score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet. Port City FC average 5.2 shots (2.0 on target), 2.5 corners and 1.2 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Port City FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Port City FC Over 0.5 Goals (Hearts of Oak's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: Hearts of Oak 1-1 Port City FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HEA 4 of 5 (80%) · POR 5 of 5 (100%)90.4%
Hearts of Oak: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Port City FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Hearts of Oak: only games against sides at Port City FC's level · Port City FC: only games against sides at Hearts of Oak's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HEA 4 of 5 (80%) · POR 5 of 5 (100%)89.4%
Hearts of Oak: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Port City FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Hearts of Oak: only games against sides at Port City FC's level · Port City FC: only games against sides at Hearts of Oak's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.19
HEA 3 of 5 (60%) · POR 4 of 5 (80%)68.8%
Hearts of Oak: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Port City FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Hearts of Oak: only games against sides at Port City FC's level · Port City FC: only games against sides at Hearts of Oak's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
HEA 3 of 5 (60%) · POR 3 of 5 (60%)46.4%
Hearts of Oak: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Port City FC: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Hearts of Oak: only games against sides at Port City FC's level · Port City FC: only games against sides at Hearts of Oak's level
Left off the list: Port City FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Port City FC Over 0.5 Goals (Hearts of Oak's own games don't back it (1 of 5))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.4%
Hearts of Oak goals →
Port City FC goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.8%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
HEARTS OF OAKWDDLWWWDLD1.60 PPG
PORT CITY FCDWWLW2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
HEARTS OF OAK HOMExPORT CITY FC AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME1.600.50CONCEDED A GAME0.8060%CLEAN SHEETS20%60%FAILED TO SCORE20%3.25CORNERS A GAME2.501.00CARDS A GAME1.25
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
HEARTS OF OAK 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
57%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
45%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
HEARTS OF OAK OR DRAW
80%
NO · 80/85
PORT CITY FC OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TRENDS
Hearts of Oak have scored in 40% of their games.
Port City FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Hearts of Oak kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
Port City FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
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