Match details. National League, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Damson Park, Solihull.
What's at stake. Solihull Moors FC are 23rd on 7 points after 13 games, 3 points behind Scunthorpe, 3 points clear of Gateshead. A win would take them level on points with Scunthorpe. Carlisle United are 14th on 17 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Sutton Utd, 2 points clear of Woking. A win would take them above Sutton Utd.
Form. Solihull Moors FC have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. Carlisle United have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L.
The numbers. Solihull Moors FC score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Solihull Moors FC average 5.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Carlisle United score 1.7 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Carlisle United average 6.6 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Solihull Moors FC have won none, drawn two and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 17 Jan 2026, it finished Solihull Moors FC 3-3 Carlisle United.
The case against. Solihull Moors FC's record still gives them 31% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The read. Carlisle United to win. A tight game. Carlisle United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Carlisle United.
The bets. Best bet: Solihull Moors FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.47, 61% on the records (Solihull Moors FC scored under 1.5 in 6 of 7; Carlisle United conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 9). Full cover: Solihull Moors FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.31. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Carlisle United are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Carlisle United are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Carlisle United are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Solihull Moors FC 0-1 Carlisle United (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).