BABAR

15:00Sat 24 Oct

FOR

Barrow AFC vs Forest Green Rovers

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. National League, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Holker Street, Barrow in Furness.

What's at stake. Barrow AFC are 8th on 21 points after 13 games, 2 points behind AFC Fylde, level on points with AFC Hornchurch. A win would take them above AFC Fylde. Forest Green Rovers are 16th on 15 points after 12 games, level on points with Woking, level on points with Eastleigh. A win would take them above Woking.

Form. Barrow AFC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. Forest Green Rovers have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D D.

The numbers. Barrow AFC score 1.8 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Barrow AFC average 6.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Forest Green Rovers score 1.9 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Forest Green Rovers average 6.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Barrow AFC have won three, drawn three and lost four. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Barrow AFC won two and Forest Green Rovers won two. The last time they met, on 13 Feb 2024, it finished Barrow AFC 1-2 Forest Green Rovers: Barrow AFC had 9 shots to 10, 54% of the ball, four yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Forest Green Rovers the likelier winners, but Barrow AFC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Barrow AFC.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Barrow AFC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Barrow AFC or Draw & Over 1.5 (no result call). Predicted score: Barrow AFC 0-2 Forest Green Rovers (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BAR 7 of 8 (88%) · FOR 6 of 8 (75%)93.1%

Barrow AFC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Forest Green Rovers: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 6 of 6 · Barrow AFC: only games against sides at Forest Green Rovers's level · Forest Green Rovers: only games against sides at Barrow AFC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.20

BAR 7 of 8 (88%) · FOR 6 of 8 (75%)85.1%

Barrow AFC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Forest Green Rovers: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 6 of 6 · Barrow AFC: only games against sides at Forest Green Rovers's level · Forest Green Rovers: only games against sides at Barrow AFC's level

FOREST GREEN ROVERS GOALS

Forest Green Rovers Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.27

BAR 8 of 8 (100%) · FOR 5 of 8 (62%)74.5%

Forest Green Rovers scored in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Barrow AFC conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 3 of 6 · Forest Green Rovers: only games against sides at Barrow AFC's level · Barrow AFC: only games against sides at Forest Green Rovers's level

HALVES

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.13

BAR 8 of 8 (100%) · FOR 8 of 8 (100%)100%

Barrow AFC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Forest Green Rovers: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Barrow AFC: only games against sides at Forest Green Rovers's level · Forest Green Rovers: only games against sides at Barrow AFC's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.24

BAR 7 of 8 (88%) · FOR 5 of 8 (62%)77.1%

Barrow AFC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Forest Green Rovers: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Barrow AFC: only games against sides at Forest Green Rovers's level · Forest Green Rovers: only games against sides at Barrow AFC's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.52

BAR 6 of 8 (75%) · FOR 5 of 8 (62%)59.9%

Barrow AFC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Forest Green Rovers: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 2 of 6 · on half-time scores · Barrow AFC: only games against sides at Forest Green Rovers's level · Forest Green Rovers: only games against sides at Barrow AFC's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Barrow AFC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Barrow AFC or Draw & Over 1.5 (no result call); 1X2 - 2UP: Barrow AFC (no result call); Barrow AFC 1UP (no result call); Barrow AFC or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–2 13.4%

Barrow AFC goals →

Forest Green Rovers goals ↓

0-05%

1-03%

2-01%

3-00.2%

4-00.0%

5-00.0%

0-111%

1-18%

2-12%

3-10.6%

4-10.1%

5-10.0%

0-213%

1-29%

2-23%

3-20.7%

4-20.1%

5-20.0%

0-311%

1-37%

2-32%

3-30.5%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-46%

1-44%

2-41%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-53%

1-52%

2-50.7%

3-50.2%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

BARROW AFCWDWWWWWLDW2.30 PPG

FOREST GREEN ROVERSWDLDDLDWWL1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BARROW AFC HOMExFOREST GREEN ROVERS AWAY

1.69SCORED A GAME1.581.23CONCEDED A GAME1.8350%CLEAN SHEETS40%15%FAILED TO SCORE17%6.23CORNERS A GAME6.582.69CARDS A GAME2.42

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.62POINTS A GAME1.25+0.46GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.25+2.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.23.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.613LEAGUE GAMES12

Barrow AFC: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

71%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

87%

OKAY · 85/90

BARROW AFC OR DRAW

64%

NO · 80/85

FOREST GREEN ROVERS OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BARROW AFCxFOREST GREEN ROVERS

6GAMES51.83SCORED A GAME1.400.83CONCEDED A GAME1.402.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.883%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%83%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%50%BOTH SCORE60%7.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–11.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

BARROW AFC 3 · 30%DRAW 3FOREST GREEN ROVERS 4 · 40%

4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

5 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2015-08-15Barrow AFC 0 – 4 Forest Green Rovers

2016-02-27Barrow AFC 2 – 2 Forest Green Rovers

2016-10-01Barrow AFC 0 – 0 Forest Green Rovers

2017-01-28Barrow AFC 2 – 3 Forest Green Rovers

2020-11-21Barrow AFC 2 – 2 Forest Green Rovers

2021-04-27Barrow AFC 2 – 0 Forest Green Rovers

2021-11-23Barrow AFC 0 – 2 Forest Green Rovers

2022-04-15Barrow AFC 4 – 0 Forest Green Rovers

TRENDS

Barrow AFC have scored in 80% of their games.

Forest Green Rovers have scored in 90% of their games.

Barrow AFC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Forest Green Rovers kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards