Harrogate Town vs Sutton United
Match details. National League, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Exercise Stadium, Harrogate.
What's at stake. Harrogate Town are 2nd on 28 points after 13 games, 7 points behind Boreham Wood, 1 point clear of Southend. Sutton United are 13th on 18 points after 13 games, level on points with Aldershot Town, 1 point clear of Carlisle. A win would take them above Aldershot Town.
Form. Harrogate Town have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. Sutton United have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L.
The numbers. Harrogate Town score 2.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Harrogate Town average 4.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Sutton United score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Sutton United average 4.5 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Harrogate Town have won two, drawn one and lost seven. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Harrogate Town won one, one was drawn and Sutton United won two. The last time they met, on 13 Apr 2024, it finished Harrogate Town 2-2 Sutton United: Harrogate Town had 8 shots to 18, 56% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Harrogate Town the likelier winners, but Harrogate Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Harrogate Town; the meetings favour Sutton United. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The case against. Sutton United's record still gives them 31% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Harrogate Town to win. Their goals for and against make Harrogate Town the likelier winners; Harrogate Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Harrogate Town; the meetings favour Sutton United.
The bets. Best bet: Harrogate Town or Draw (1UP) at 1.13, 91% on the records (Harrogate Town scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5; led or was unbeaten in 7 of 8). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Harrogate Town are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Harrogate Town are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Harrogate Town 1-0 Sutton United (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).