NCNEW

15:00Sat 17 Oct

YOR

Newport County vs York City FC

CLASS E

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class E

NCv

Under 3.5 Goals

Newport County v York City FC

England - League Two · 15:00

1.44odds

69%book

+12edge

3/3angles

THE READ

Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Rodney Parade, Newport.

What's at stake. Newport County are 12th on 13 points after 10 games, level on points with Grimsby, 1 point clear of Tranmere. A win would take them above Grimsby. York City FC are 5th on 15 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Gillingham, level on points with Walsall. A win would take them above Gillingham.

Form. Newport County have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W W. York City FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L L.

The numbers. Newport County score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Newport County average 10.5 shots (3.4 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 38% of the ball. York City FC score 1.6 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. York City FC average 9.7 shots (3.2 on target), 6.6 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 64% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Newport County have won five, drawn one and lost three. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Newport County won three and York City FC won one. The last time they met, on 16 Jan 2016, it finished Newport County 1-0 York City FC.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make York City FC the likelier winners, but the meetings favour Newport County.

The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.44, 74% on the records (Newport County: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8; York City FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Newport County or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Newport County 1-1 York City FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

York City FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.25

NEW 7 of 8 (88%) · YOR 6 of 8 (75%)70%

York City FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Newport County: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 6 · York City FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level · Newport County: only games against sides at York City FC's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.17

NEW 8 of 8 (100%) · YOR 7 of 8 (88%)93.9%

Newport County: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · York City FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · Newport County: only games against sides at York City FC's level · York City FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.44

NEW 7 of 8 (88%) · YOR 6 of 8 (75%)80.7%

Newport County: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · York City FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 5 of 6 · Newport County: only games against sides at York City FC's level · York City FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

2.10

NEW 5 of 8 (62%) · YOR 4 of 8 (50%)57.2%

Newport County: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · York City FC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 3 of 6 · Newport County: only games against sides at York City FC's level · York City FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.19

NEW 6 of 8 (75%) · YOR 6 of 8 (75%)77.1%

Newport County: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · York City FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Newport County: only games against sides at York City FC's level · York City FC: only games against sides at Newport County's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Newport County or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13%

Newport County goals →

York City FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-07%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-111%

1-113%

2-17%

3-12%

4-10.6%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-35%

2-33%

3-30.9%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-40.9%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.5%

1-50.5%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

NEWPORT COUNTYWDDWWDDLLD1.40 PPG

YORK CITY FCDWDLLWDLWD1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NEWPORT COUNTY HOMExYORK CITY FC AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.891.20CONCEDED A GAME1.2240%CLEAN SHEETS20%30%FAILED TO SCORE11%4.10CORNERS A GAME6.561.75CARDS A GAME1.001.10xG2.201.21xG AGAINST1.61

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.40POINTS A GAME1.33+0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.44-2.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.01.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.610LEAGUE GAMES9

York City FC: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

83%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

81%

NO · 85/90

NEWPORT COUNTY OR DRAW

96%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

YORK CITY FC OR DRAW

44%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

NEWPORT COUNTYxYORK CITY FC

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.800.40CONCEDED A GAME0.801.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9

NEWPORT COUNTY 5 · 56%DRAW 1YORK CITY FC 3 · 33%

3 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS

2012-04-03Newport County 2 – 1 York City FC

2012-04-14Newport County 1 – 1 York City FC

2012-05-12Newport County 0 – 2 York City FC

2013-10-19Newport County 3 – 0 York City FC

2014-04-26Newport County 0 – 1 York City FC

2014-10-11Newport County 3 – 1 York City FC

2015-04-25Newport County 2 – 0 York City FC

2015-09-05Newport County 0 – 3 York City FC

TRENDS

Newport County have scored in 70% of their games.

York City FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Newport County kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

York City FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards