Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at The Crown Ground, Accrington.
What's at stake. Accrington Stanley are 15th on 11 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Exeter City, level on points with Fleetwood Town. A win would take them above Exeter City. Gillingham FC are 4th on 16 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Crewe, 1 point clear of York. A win would take them above Crewe.
Form. Accrington Stanley have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D D. Gillingham FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L.
The numbers. Accrington Stanley score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Accrington Stanley average 13.2 shots (4.0 on target), 4.9 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Gillingham FC score two and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Gillingham FC average 9.5 shots (3.2 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Accrington Stanley have won two, drawn three and lost five. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Accrington Stanley won one, two were drawn and Gillingham FC won one. The last time they met, on 6 Apr 2026, it finished Accrington Stanley 0-2 Gillingham FC: Accrington Stanley had 8 shots to 11, 46% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.33, 72% on the records (Accrington Stanley: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8; Gillingham FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Accrington Stanley or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Gillingham FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw). Predicted score: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Gillingham FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).