Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir. The referee is L. Hogarth.
What's at stake. Stenhousemuir FC are 1st on 22 points after 9 games, 2 points clear of Raith Rovers. Raith Rovers FC are 2nd on 20 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Stenhousemuir, 2 points clear of Partick. A win would take them above Stenhousemuir.
Form. Stenhousemuir FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. Raith Rovers FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. In this competition Raith Rovers FC have gone W W L D W W.
The numbers. Stenhousemuir FC score 1.2 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Stenhousemuir FC average 6.4 shots (2.7 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Raith Rovers FC score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Raith Rovers FC average 3.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Stenhousemuir FC have won none, drawn two and lost three. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and Raith Rovers FC won two. The last time they met, on 1 Aug 2026, it finished Stenhousemuir FC 1-1 Raith Rovers FC.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%. Three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.22, 76% on the records (Stenhousemuir FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8; Raith Rovers FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.32. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Stenhousemuir FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Raith Rovers FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Stenhousemuir FC 1-1 Raith Rovers FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).