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SCOTLAND - CHAMPIONSHIP
Dunfermline Athletic FC crestDADUN
15:00Sat 17 Oct
LIVLivingston FC crestLF

Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Livingston FC

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at East End Park, Dunfermline. The referee is C. Graham.

What's at stake. Dunfermline Athletic FC are 5th on 13 points after 8 games, level on points with Livingston, level on points with Inverness CT. A win would take them above Livingston. Livingston FC are 4th on 13 points after 10 games, 7 points behind Raith Rovers, level on points with Dunfermline.

Form. Dunfermline Athletic FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W. Livingston FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W. In this competition Livingston FC have gone L L W D W L.

The numbers. Dunfermline Athletic FC score 0.9 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Dunfermline Athletic FC average 10.4 shots (3.5 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Livingston FC score 1.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Livingston FC average 5.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Dunfermline Athletic FC have won four, drawn two and lost four. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Dunfermline Athletic FC won one, one was drawn and Livingston FC won two. The last time they met, on 22 Aug 2026, it finished Dunfermline Athletic FC 0-2 Livingston FC.

Where it pulls both ways. Dunfermline Athletic FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Livingston FC: in the last ten meetings, Dunfermline Athletic FC won four, Livingston FC won four and two were drawn.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 19%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Dunfermline Athletic FC 1UP (no result call); Dunfermline Athletic FC or draw and under 3.5 goals (no result call); Dunfermline Athletic FC or draw and under 2.5 goals (no result call). Predicted score: Dunfermline Athletic FC 1-1 Livingston FC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.15
DUN 8 of 8 (100%) · LIV 9 of 10 (90%)91.1%
Dunfermline Athletic FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Livingston FC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · Dunfermline Athletic FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Dunfermline Athletic FC's level
DUNFERMLINE ATHLETIC FC GOALS
Dunfermline Athletic FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.28
DUN 6 of 8 (75%) · LIV 7 of 10 (70%)70.3%
Dunfermline Athletic FC scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Livingston FC conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 2 of 6 · Dunfermline Athletic FC: only games against sides at Livingston FC's level · Livingston FC: only games against sides at Dunfermline Athletic FC's level
Left off the list: Dunfermline Athletic FC 1UP (no result call); Dunfermline Athletic FC or draw and under 3.5 goals (no result call); Dunfermline Athletic FC or draw and under 2.5 goals (no result call); Dunfermline Athletic FC or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.6%
Dunfermline Athletic… goals →
Livingston FC goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-114%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.8%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
DUNFERMLINE ATHLETIC FCWDDLLWDWWD1.60 PPG
LIVINGSTON FCWLWLLWDWLL1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
DUNFERMLINE ATHLETIC FC HOMExLIVINGSTON FC AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME1.400.70CONCEDED A GAME1.1050%CLEAN SHEETS30%25%FAILED TO SCORE30%5.70CORNERS A GAME5.801.80CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
LIVINGSTON FC 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.62POINTS A GAME1.30+0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.30+7.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.92.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES10
Dunfermline Athletic FC: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
13%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
DUNFERMLINE ATHLETIC FC OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
LIVINGSTON FC OR DRAW
43%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
DUNFERMLINE ATHLETIC FCxLIVINGSTON FC
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.000.40CONCEDED A GAME1.401.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE80%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.210.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
DUNFERMLINE ATHLETIC FC 4 · 40%DRAW 2LIVINGSTON FC 4 · 40%
1 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
5 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2017-10-21Dunfermline Athletic FC 3 – 1 Livingston FC
2018-02-10Dunfermline Athletic FC 0 – 0 Livingston FC
2018-04-03Dunfermline Athletic FC 1 – 0 Livingston FC
2024-07-20Dunfermline Athletic FC 0 – 1 Livingston FC
2024-08-03Dunfermline Athletic FC 0 – 2 Livingston FC
2024-10-29Dunfermline Athletic FC 3 – 0 Livingston FC
2025-02-05Dunfermline Athletic FC 0 – 2 Livingston FC
2025-02-15Dunfermline Athletic FC 0 – 0 Livingston FC
TRENDS
Dunfermline Athletic FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Livingston FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Dunfermline Athletic FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Livingston FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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