Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at East End Park, Dunfermline. The referee is C. Graham.
What's at stake. Dunfermline Athletic FC are 5th on 13 points after 8 games, level on points with Livingston, level on points with Inverness CT. A win would take them above Livingston. Livingston FC are 4th on 13 points after 10 games, 7 points behind Raith Rovers, level on points with Dunfermline.
Form. Dunfermline Athletic FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W. Livingston FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W. In this competition Livingston FC have gone L L W D W L.
The numbers. Dunfermline Athletic FC score 0.9 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Dunfermline Athletic FC average 10.4 shots (3.5 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Livingston FC score 1.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Livingston FC average 5.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Dunfermline Athletic FC have won four, drawn two and lost four. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Dunfermline Athletic FC won one, one was drawn and Livingston FC won two. The last time they met, on 22 Aug 2026, it finished Dunfermline Athletic FC 0-2 Livingston FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Dunfermline Athletic FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Livingston FC: in the last ten meetings, Dunfermline Athletic FC won four, Livingston FC won four and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 19%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Dunfermline Athletic FC 1UP (no result call); Dunfermline Athletic FC or draw and under 3.5 goals (no result call); Dunfermline Athletic FC or draw and under 2.5 goals (no result call). Predicted score: Dunfermline Athletic FC 1-1 Livingston FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).