Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham United
Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood.
What's at stake. Fleetwood Town are 16th on 11 points after 10 games, level on points with Accrington ST, level on points with Swindon Town. A win would take them above Accrington ST. Rotherham United are 20th on 10 points after 10 games, level on points with Colchester, 2 points clear of Oldham. A win would take them above Colchester.
Form. Fleetwood Town have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. Rotherham United have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D D.
The numbers. Fleetwood Town score 1.7 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Fleetwood Town average 14.5 shots (3.8 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Rotherham United score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Rotherham United average 12.0 shots (4.0 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Fleetwood Town have won four, drawn one and lost one. Four of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Fleetwood Town won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 27 Aug 2024, it finished Fleetwood Town 2-1 Rotherham United: Fleetwood Town had 14 shots to 16, 45% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%; four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Rotherham United's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Fleetwood Town to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Fleetwood Town the likelier winners; Fleetwood Town are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Fleetwood Town. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.34, 73% on the records (Fleetwood Town: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7; Rotherham United: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Fleetwood Town 1-0 Rotherham United (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).