Match details. EFL Trophy, Group South - 2. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Bescot Stadium, Walsall.
Form. Walsall FC have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W D. In this competition Walsall FC have gone L. Fulham U21 have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. In this competition Fulham U21 have gone L.
The numbers. Walsall FC score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Walsall FC average 12.4 shots (3.5 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Fulham U21 score 1.8 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 17 Sep 2024, it finished Walsall FC 1-0 Fulham U21.
The case against. Fulham U21's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Walsall FC to win. An open game. Walsall FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Walsall FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: Walsall FC or Draw at 1.25, 80% on the records (Walsall FC unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Fulham U21 failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: Walsall FC or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Walsall FC Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Walsall FC Over 1.5 goals (Walsall FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Walsall FC 2-1 Fulham U21 (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).