Reading FC vs Chelsea U21
Match details. EFL Trophy, Group South - 3. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Madejski Stadium, Reading.
Form. Reading FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W L. Chelsea U21 have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. In this competition Chelsea U21 have gone L.
The numbers. Reading FC score 2.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Reading FC average 17.0 shots (5.4 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Chelsea U21 score 2.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet.
The case against. Chelsea U21's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Reading FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Reading FC the likelier winners; Reading FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Reading FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Chelsea U21 or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Reading FC); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Reading FC 2-1 Chelsea U21 (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).