Match details. AFC Champions League Elite, League Phase - 2. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sultan Qaboos Sports Complex, Muscat, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Tractor Tabriz are 14th on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with Al Quwa Al Jawiya, level on points with Al Sadd. A win would take them above Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Al-Shamal are 8th on 1 point after 1 game, level on points with Al-Ittihad FC, level on points with Pakhtakor. A win would take them above Al-Ittihad FC.
Form. Tractor Tabriz have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D. In this competition Tractor Tabriz have gone L L. Al-Shamal have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D. In this competition Al-Shamal have gone D.
The numbers. Tractor Tabriz score 0.9 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and four games without a goal. Tractor Tabriz average 2.8 shots (0.4 on target), 1.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Al-Shamal score 2.3 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Al-Shamal average 10.0 shots (4.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Tractor Tabriz 1-1 Al-Shamal (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).