Match details. Serie C, Group A, Girone A - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Omobono Tenni, Treviso. The referee is L. Angelillo.
What's at stake. Treviso FBC 1993 are 6th on 13 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Trento, level on points with Desenzano Calvina. A win would take them above Trento. ACD Ospitaletto are 4th on 15 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Arzignano Valchiampo, 1 point clear of Trento. A win would take them above Arzignano Valchiampo.
Form. Treviso FBC 1993 have won three, drawn four and lost one of their last eight, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D W. In this competition Treviso FBC 1993 have gone D W D D W D. ACD Ospitaletto have won four, drawn three and lost one of their last eight, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. In this competition ACD Ospitaletto have gone D W L D W W.
The numbers. Treviso FBC 1993 score one and concede 0.8 a game over their last eight, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. ACD Ospitaletto score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: ACD Ospitaletto or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); ACD Ospitaletto Over 0.5 goals (Treviso FBC 1993's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); ACD Ospitaletto or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Treviso FBC 1993 1-1 ACD Ospitaletto (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).