ATACT

16:30Sun 11 Oct

USF

AC Trento vs US Folgore Caratese

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Serie C, Group A, Girone A - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Briamasco, Trento. The referee is M. Zini.

What's at stake. AC Trento are 5th on 14 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Ospitaletto, 1 point clear of Treviso. A win would take them above Ospitaletto. US Folgore Caratese are 17th on 6 points after 8 games, level on points with Athletic Carpi, level on points with Juventus U23. A win would take them above Athletic Carpi.

Form. AC Trento have won three, drawn five and lost none of their last eight, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D D. In this competition AC Trento have gone D D W D D W. US Folgore Caratese have won one, drawn three and lost four of their last eight, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L. In this competition US Folgore Caratese have gone L W D D L L.

The numbers. AC Trento score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game over their last eight, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. US Folgore Caratese score 1.1 and concede 1.5 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.

The read. AC Trento to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make AC Trento the likelier winners; AC Trento are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AC Trento or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (AC Trento are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (AC Trento are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: AC Trento 2-1 US Folgore Caratese (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Double Chance: AC Trento or DrawIN CODES

1.17

ACT 8 of 8 (100%) · USF 7 of 8 (88%)88.4%

AC Trento unbeaten in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Folgore Caratese failed to win 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · AC Trento: only games against sides at US Folgore Caratese's level · US Folgore Caratese: only games against sides at AC Trento's level

AC Trento or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES

1.17

ACT 5 of 8 (62%) · USF 7 of 8 (88%)75%

AC Trento: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Folgore Caratese: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · AC Trento: only games against sides at US Folgore Caratese's level · US Folgore Caratese: only games against sides at AC Trento's level

AC Trento or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.35

ACT 5 of 8 (62%) · USF 6 of 8 (75%)70.3%

AC Trento: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Folgore Caratese: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · AC Trento: only games against sides at US Folgore Caratese's level · US Folgore Caratese: only games against sides at AC Trento's level

AC Trento to WinPAGE ONLY

1.69

ACT 3 of 8 (38%) · USF 4 of 8 (50%)69.9%

AC Trento won 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Folgore Caratese lost 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 44% · AC Trento: only games against sides at US Folgore Caratese's level · US Folgore Caratese: only games against sides at AC Trento's level

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.33

ACT 4 of 8 (50%) · USF 6 of 8 (75%)63.8%

AC Trento: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Folgore Caratese: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · AC Trento: only games against sides at US Folgore Caratese's level · US Folgore Caratese: only games against sides at AC Trento's level

AC TRENTO GOALS

AC Trento Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.18

ACT 5 of 8 (62%) · USF 7 of 8 (88%)82.7%

AC Trento scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · US Folgore Caratese conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · AC Trento: only games against sides at US Folgore Caratese's level · US Folgore Caratese: only games against sides at AC Trento's level

US FOLGORE CARATESE GOALS

US Folgore Caratese Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.21

ACT 5 of 8 (62%) · USF 6 of 8 (75%)84.3%

US Folgore Caratese scored under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Trento conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · US Folgore Caratese: only games against sides at AC Trento's level · AC Trento: only games against sides at US Folgore Caratese's level

Left off the list: AC Trento or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (AC Trento are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (AC Trento are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.8%

AC Trento goals →

US Folgore Caratese goals ↓

0-07%

1-011%

2-012%

3-07%

4-04%

5-01%

0-15%

1-111%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-22%

1-24%

2-24%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-30.6%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.1%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 8

AC TRENTOWDWDDWDD1.75 PPG

US FOLGORE CARATESELDLLDDWL0.75 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AC TRENTO HOMExUS FOLGORE CARATESE AWAY

1.38SCORED A GAME1.120.62CONCEDED A GAME1.5062%CLEAN SHEETS12%38%FAILED TO SCORE25%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.75POINTS A GAME0.75+0.75GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.38+5.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.41.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES8

AC Trento: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

AC TRENTO 2:0 HANDICAP

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389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

59%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AC TRENTO OR DRAW

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

US FOLGORE CARATESE OR DRAW

51%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AC TRENTOxUS FOLGORE CARATESE

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.200.80CONCEDED A GAME1.402.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE80%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.09.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

AC Trento failed to score in 38% of their games.

US Folgore Caratese failed to score in 25% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague table