MACMAC

14:00Sun 11 Oct

ACF

Maceratese vs AC Foligno 1928

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group F, Group F - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Maceratese are 13th on 7 points after 6 games, level on points with Termoli Calcio, level on points with Atletico Ascoli. A win would take them above Termoli Calcio. AC Foligno 1928 are 4th on 13 points after 6 games, level on points with Vigor Senigallia, 2 points clear of Ancona. A win would take them above Vigor Senigallia.

Form. Maceratese have won two, drawn one and lost three of their last six, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L. AC Foligno 1928 have won four, drawn one and lost one of their last six, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.

The numbers. Maceratese score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AC Foligno 1928 score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last six, with three clean sheets.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The case against. Maceratese's record still gives them 25% to win.

The read. AC Foligno 1928 to win. AC Foligno 1928 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AC Foligno 1928.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Maceratese 0-1 AC Foligno 1928 (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAC 6 of 6 (100%) · ACF 6 of 6 (100%)94.3%

Maceratese: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AC Foligno 1928: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Maceratese: only games against sides at AC Foligno 1928's level · AC Foligno 1928: only games against sides at Maceratese's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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MAC 6 of 6 (100%) · ACF 6 of 6 (100%)92.6%

Maceratese: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AC Foligno 1928: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Maceratese: only games against sides at AC Foligno 1928's level · AC Foligno 1928: only games against sides at Maceratese's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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MAC 5 of 6 (83%) · ACF 5 of 6 (83%)86.3%

Maceratese: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AC Foligno 1928: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Maceratese: only games against sides at AC Foligno 1928's level · AC Foligno 1928: only games against sides at Maceratese's level

AC FOLIGNO 1928 GOALS

AC Foligno 1928 Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

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MAC 6 of 6 (100%) · ACF 5 of 6 (83%)69.9%

AC Foligno 1928 scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Maceratese conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · AC Foligno 1928: only games against sides at Maceratese's level · Maceratese: only games against sides at AC Foligno 1928's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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MAC 5 of 6 (83%) · ACF 5 of 6 (83%)83.3%

Maceratese: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AC Foligno 1928: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · Maceratese: only games against sides at AC Foligno 1928's level · AC Foligno 1928: only games against sides at Maceratese's level

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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MAC 5 of 6 (83%) · ACF 5 of 6 (83%)83.3%

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 7.4%

Maceratese goals →

AC Foligno 1928 goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 6

MACERATESELLLWDW1.17 PPG

AC FOLIGNO 1928WWLWDW2.17 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MACERATESE HOMExAC FOLIGNO 1928 AWAY

1.17SCORED A GAME1.171.50CONCEDED A GAME1.0017%CLEAN SHEETS50%33%FAILED TO SCORE0%

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

77%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 85/90

MACERATESE OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

AC FOLIGNO 1928 OR DRAW

66%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Maceratese failed to score in 33% of their games.

AC Foligno 1928 failed to score in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague table