Match details. Serie D, Group F, Group F - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. L’Aquila Calcio 1927 are 1st on 14 points after 6 games, 1 point clear of Teramo. Santegidiese Calcio are 9th on 8 points after 6 games, level on points with Montecchio Gallo, 1 point clear of Real Giulianova. A win would take them above Montecchio Gallo.
Form. L’Aquila Calcio 1927 have won four, drawn two and lost none of their last six, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W. Santegidiese Calcio have won two, drawn two and lost two of their last six, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D.
The numbers. L’Aquila Calcio 1927 score two and concede 0.3 a game over their last six, with five clean sheets. Santegidiese Calcio score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet.
The read. L’Aquila Calcio 1927 to win. A tight game. L’Aquila Calcio 1927 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour L’Aquila Calcio 1927. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: L’Aquila Calcio 1927 or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); L’Aquila Calcio 1927 or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: L’Aquila Calcio 1927 1-0 Santegidiese Calcio (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).