OBEOBE

14:00Sun 11 Oct

CAL

Obermais vs Calcio Schio

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group C, Group C - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Obermais are 16th on 5 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Virtus Bolzano, 1 point clear of Schio. A win would take them above Virtus Bolzano. Calcio Schio are 17th on 4 points after 6 games, 1 point behind FC Obermais, 1 point clear of Brian Lignano. A win would take them above FC Obermais.

Form. Obermais have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D W. Calcio Schio have won two, drawn five and lost two of their last nine, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D D.

The numbers. Obermais score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Obermais average 2.5 corners and 0.5 cards a game. Calcio Schio score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal.

The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Obermais 1-1 Calcio Schio (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

OBE 7 of 8 (88%) · CAL 6 of 6 (100%)95.2%

Obermais: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Calcio Schio: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Obermais: only games against sides at Calcio Schio's level · Calcio Schio: only games against sides at Obermais's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

OBE 7 of 8 (88%) · CAL 6 of 6 (100%)87.9%

Obermais: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Calcio Schio: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Obermais: only games against sides at Calcio Schio's level · Calcio Schio: only games against sides at Obermais's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

Obermais goals →

Calcio Schio goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

OBERMAISWDWLLWDLDL1.20 PPG

CALCIO SCHIODWLDDDLDW1.22 PPG

THE NUMBERS

OBERMAIS HOMExCALCIO SCHIO AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME0.891.80CONCEDED A GAME0.8910%CLEAN SHEETS33%33%FAILED TO SCORE67%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.80POINTS A GAME0.80-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.40–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.85LEAGUE GAMES5

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

58%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

29%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

OBERMAIS OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

CALCIO SCHIO OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

OBERMAISxCALCIO SCHIO

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.602.00CONCEDED A GAME1.003.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Obermais have scored in 70% of their games.

Calcio Schio have scored in 56% of their games.

Obermais kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Calcio Schio kept a clean sheet in 33% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards