LFLUP

14:00Sun 11 Oct

ACE

Luparense FC vs AC Este

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group C, Group C - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Luparense FC are 2nd on 14 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Cjarlins Muzane, 3 points clear of Sandona. A win would take them above Cjarlins Muzane. AC Este are 10th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind LME, level on points with Legnago Salus. A win would take them above LME.

Form. Luparense FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D. AC Este have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L.

The numbers. Luparense FC score 2.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Luparense FC average 5.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. AC Este score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. AC Este average 11.2 shots (4.3 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.3 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Luparense FC have won two, drawn seven and lost one. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Luparense FC won one, two were drawn and AC Este won one. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished Luparense FC 0-2 AC Este.

The case against. AC Este's record still gives them 23% to win.

The read. Luparense FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Luparense FC the likelier winners; Luparense FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Luparense FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Luparense FC 1-0 AC Este (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Luparense FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LUP 8 of 8 (100%) · ACE 7 of 8 (88%)95.3%

Luparense FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Este: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · Luparense FC: only games against sides at AC Este's level · AC Este: only games against sides at Luparense FC's level

Luparense FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LUP 5 of 6 (83%) · ACE 4 of 7 (57%)67.9%

Luparense FC won 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · AC Este lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 2 of 3 · Luparense FC: only games against sides at AC Este's level · AC Este: only games against sides at Luparense FC's level · won 6, refunded 1, lost 2

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LUP 8 of 8 (100%) · ACE 8 of 8 (100%)95.1%

Luparense FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Este: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Luparense FC: only games against sides at AC Este's level · AC Este: only games against sides at Luparense FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LUP 8 of 8 (100%) · ACE 8 of 8 (100%)87.8%

Luparense FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Este: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Luparense FC: only games against sides at AC Este's level · AC Este: only games against sides at Luparense FC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LUP 5 of 8 (62%) · ACE 8 of 8 (100%)73.7%

Luparense FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Este: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 6 of 6 · Luparense FC: only games against sides at AC Este's level · AC Este: only games against sides at Luparense FC's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.67

LUP 4 of 8 (50%) · ACE 6 of 8 (75%)51.9%

Luparense FC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Este: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 5 of 6 · Luparense FC: only games against sides at AC Este's level · AC Este: only games against sides at Luparense FC's level

LUPARENSE FC GOALS

Luparense FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LUP 6 of 8 (75%) · ACE 5 of 8 (62%)79.5%

Luparense FC scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Este conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 4 of 6 · Luparense FC: only games against sides at AC Este's level · AC Este: only games against sides at Luparense FC's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.1%

Luparense FC goals →

AC Este goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

LUPARENSE FCWLWLWDWDWW2.00 PPG

AC ESTEWLWWLLLDWL1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LUPARENSE FC HOMExAC ESTE AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME0.800.80CONCEDED A GAME0.8050%CLEAN SHEETS40%17%FAILED TO SCORE50%5.00CORNERS A GAME3.672.00CARDS A GAME1.33

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.33POINTS A GAME1.20+1.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.26LEAGUE GAMES5

Luparense FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

LUPARENSE FC 2:0 HANDICAP

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389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

73%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

55%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

LUPARENSE FC OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

AC ESTE OR DRAW

32%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LUPARENSE FCxAC ESTE

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.000.40CONCEDED A GAME1.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

LUPARENSE FC 2 · 20%DRAW 7AC ESTE 1 · 10%

6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-11-28Luparense FC 0 – 0 AC Este

2022-04-09Luparense FC 2 – 2 AC Este

2022-12-04Luparense FC 1 – 1 AC Este

2023-04-16Luparense FC 1 – 1 AC Este

2023-12-16Luparense FC 0 – 0 AC Este

2024-04-28Luparense FC 2 – 1 AC Este

2024-10-13Luparense FC 1 – 1 AC Este

2025-02-09Luparense FC 2 – 0 AC Este

TRENDS

Luparense FC have scored in 80% of their games.

AC Este have scored in 50% of their games.

Luparense FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

AC Este kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards