ARACR

13:30Sun 11 Oct

ASG

AC Renate vs AS Giana Erminio

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Serie C, Group A, Girone A - 9. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Mino Favini, Meda. The referee is D. Kovacevic.

What's at stake. AC Renate are 20th on 3 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Giana Erminio. A win would take them above Giana Erminio. AS Giana Erminio are 19th on 4 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Juventus U23, 1 point clear of Renate. A win would take them above Juventus U23.

Form. AC Renate have won none, drawn four and lost six of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D D. AS Giana Erminio have won none, drawn five and lost five of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D L.

The numbers. AC Renate score 0.9 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. AC Renate average 11.4 shots (3.4 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.8 cards a game. AS Giana Erminio score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. AS Giana Erminio average 11.0 shots (3.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings AC Renate have won four, drawn one and lost four. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, AC Renate won one, one was drawn and AS Giana Erminio won two. The last time they met, on 10 Jan 2026, it finished AC Renate 1-0 AS Giana Erminio.

The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AC Renate 1-1 AS Giana Erminio (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACR 8 of 8 (100%) · ASG 8 of 8 (100%)95.7%

AC Renate: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AS Giana Erminio: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · AC Renate: only games against sides at AS Giana Erminio's level · AS Giana Erminio: only games against sides at AC Renate's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

ACR 8 of 8 (100%) · ASG 8 of 8 (100%)89.2%

AC Renate: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AS Giana Erminio: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · AC Renate: only games against sides at AS Giana Erminio's level · AS Giana Erminio: only games against sides at AC Renate's level

AC RENATE GOALS

AC Renate Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.22

ACR 5 of 8 (62%) · ASG 7 of 8 (88%)72.6%

AC Renate scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AS Giana Erminio conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · AC Renate: only games against sides at AS Giana Erminio's level · AS Giana Erminio: only games against sides at AC Renate's level

AS GIANA ERMINIO GOALS

AS Giana Erminio Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.48

ACR 5 of 8 (62%) · ASG 7 of 8 (88%)67.1%

AS Giana Erminio scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Renate conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · AS Giana Erminio: only games against sides at AC Renate's level · AC Renate: only games against sides at AS Giana Erminio's level

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.37

ACR 6 of 8 (75%) · ASG 6 of 8 (75%)77.1%

AC Renate: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AS Giana Erminio: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · AC Renate: only games against sides at AS Giana Erminio's level · AS Giana Erminio: only games against sides at AC Renate's level

Left off the list: Over 3.5 Cards (the numbers (66%) and the records (88%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

AC Renate goals →

AS Giana Erminio goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-07%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AC RENATEDLLLLDDLLD0.40 PPG

AS GIANA ERMINIODLLLLLDDDD0.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AC RENATE HOMExAS GIANA ERMINIO AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME0.901.80CONCEDED A GAME1.6010%CLEAN SHEETS10%38%FAILED TO SCORE38%5.60CORNERS A GAME4.801.80CARDS A GAME2.80

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.38POINTS A GAME0.57-0.75GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.43-1.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.10.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.88LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

58%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

37%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AC RENATE OR DRAW

69%

NO · 80/85

AS GIANA ERMINIO OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AC RENATExAS GIANA ERMINIO

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.801.20CONCEDED A GAME1.002.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9

AC RENATE 4 · 44%DRAW 1AS GIANA ERMINIO 4 · 44%

5 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-11-21AC Renate 1 – 0 AS Giana Erminio

2022-03-26AC Renate 3 – 1 AS Giana Erminio

2023-12-16AC Renate 1 – 2 AS Giana Erminio

2024-04-20AC Renate 0 – 2 AS Giana Erminio

2024-09-13AC Renate 1 – 0 AS Giana Erminio

2025-01-18AC Renate 1 – 2 AS Giana Erminio

2025-05-07AC Renate 1 – 2 AS Giana Erminio

2025-08-30AC Renate 1 – 1 AS Giana Erminio

TRENDS

AC Renate have scored in 70% of their games.

AS Giana Erminio have scored in 70% of their games.

AC Renate kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

AS Giana Erminio kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards