FKS Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznan
Match details. 1. Liga, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu, Mielec. The referee is P. Pazdecki.
What's at stake. FKS Stal Mielec are 17th on 9 points after 9 games, level on points with Polonia Bytom, 3 points clear of Puszcza Niepołomice. A win would take them above Polonia Bytom. Warta Poznan are 4th on 15 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Nieciecza, level on points with ŁKS Łódź. A win would take them above Nieciecza.
Form. FKS Stal Mielec have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L. Warta Poznan have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W.
The numbers. FKS Stal Mielec score 2.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FKS Stal Mielec average 12.4 shots (4.6 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Warta Poznan score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last seven away, with two clean sheets. Warta Poznan average 13.2 shots (4.4 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FKS Stal Mielec have won three, drawn three and lost four. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, FKS Stal Mielec won one, one was drawn and Warta Poznan won two. The last time they met, on 22 Apr 2024, it finished FKS Stal Mielec 2-5 Warta Poznan: FKS Stal Mielec had 15 shots to 11, 58% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. FKS Stal Mielec's record still gives them 32% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The read. Warta Poznan to win. A tight game. Warta Poznan are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Warta Poznan. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Warta Poznan or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (Warta Poznan are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Warta Poznan are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FKS Stal Mielec 0-1 Warta Poznan (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).