Match details. Segunda Division, 2nd Phase - 22. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CA Atenas de San Carlos are 1st on 40 points after 21 games, 7 points clear of CA River Plate. Miramar Misiones are 12th on 25 points after 21 games, 1 point behind Sportivo Huracan, 1 point clear of Tacuarembo. A win would take them above Sportivo Huracan.
Form. CA Atenas de San Carlos have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W. In this competition CA Atenas de San Carlos have gone W D W D W L. Miramar Misiones have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. In this competition Miramar Misiones have gone W L W W L D.
The numbers. CA Atenas de San Carlos score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Atenas de San Carlos average 8.8 shots (2.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Miramar Misiones score one and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Miramar Misiones average 6.4 shots (3.3 on target), 3.9 corners and 3.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CA Atenas de San Carlos have won two, drawn six and lost two. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, CA Atenas de San Carlos won one, two were drawn and Miramar Misiones won one. The last time they met, on 6 Jul 2026, it finished CA Atenas de San Carlos 1-1 Miramar Misiones.
The read. CA Atenas de San Carlos to win. A tight game. CA Atenas de San Carlos are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Atenas de San Carlos. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: CA Atenas de San Carlos or Draw at 1.36, 72% on the records (CA Atenas de San Carlos unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Miramar Misiones failed to win 4 of 5 away). The safer one: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26 (78%). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CA Atenas de San Carlos Over 0.5 Goals (CA Atenas de San Carlos's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Atenas de San Carlos 1-0 Miramar Misiones (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).