Match details. Liga 2, Promotion Group - 3. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Villa Deportiva USMP, Lima.
What's at stake. CDU San Martin are 5th on 24 points after 16 games, 1 point behind Molinos El Pirata, 3 points clear of Deportiva Agropecuaria. A win would take them above Molinos El Pirata. Bentin Tacna Heroica are 1st on 29 points after 16 games, 3 points clear of Comerciantes. CDU San Martin have nothing left to play for.
Form. CDU San Martin have won four, drawn one and lost four of their last nine, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W. In this competition CDU San Martin have gone W L D L W W. Bentin Tacna Heroica have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W L. In this competition Bentin Tacna Heroica have gone D D D W L W.
The numbers. CDU San Martin score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Bentin Tacna Heroica score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Bentin Tacna Heroica average 12.8 shots (5.3 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings CDU San Martin have won one, drawn none and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 14 Jun 2025, it finished CDU San Martin 0-2 Bentin Tacna Heroica.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The case against. CDU San Martin's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Bentin Tacna Heroica or the draw. Bentin Tacna Heroica are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CDU San Martin 1-1 Bentin Tacna Heroica (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).