MFMON

19:00Sun 11 Oct

TAP

Montaneses FC vs Tapachula Soconusco FC

CLASS D

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class D

MFv

Over 1.5 Goals

Montaneses FC v Tapachula Soconusco FC

Mexico - Liga Primera… · 19:00

1.18odds

85%book

+1edge

3/3angles

THE READ

Match details. Liga Primera Premier, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Montaneses FC are 10th on 7 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Los Cabos United, level on points with Cordobés. A win would take them above Los Cabos United. Tapachula Soconusco FC are 16th on 3 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Inter Playa del Carmen, 1 point clear of Tritons Vallarta. A win would take them above Inter Playa del Carmen.

Form. Montaneses FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L D. Tapachula Soconusco FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.

The numbers. Montaneses FC score 2.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Montaneses FC average 7.7 shots (2.8 on target), 3.3 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Tapachula Soconusco FC score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Tapachula Soconusco FC average 8.7 shots (4.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Montaneses FC have won two, drawn none and lost two. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 10 Mar 2026, it finished Montaneses FC 1-3 Tapachula Soconusco FC.

The case against. Tapachula Soconusco FC's record still gives them 37% to win.

The read. Montaneses FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Montaneses FC the likelier winners; Montaneses FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Montaneses FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%. Three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, rated 78% (Montaneses FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6; Tapachula Soconusco FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.23. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Montaneses FC 2-1 Tapachula Soconusco FC (10% chance).

The agreed story. Montaneses FC or the draw, an open game.

The league run. Montaneses FC: up and down in the league (L W L L D). Tapachula Soconusco FC: lost their last two league games (L L W L L).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Montaneses FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MON 5 of 6 (83%) · TAP 4 of 5 (80%)75.1%

Montaneses FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 4 of 4 · Montaneses FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Montaneses FC's level

Montaneses FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

MON 6 of 6 (100%) · TAP 4 of 5 (80%)72.4%

Montaneses FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 4 · Montaneses FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Montaneses FC's level

Montaneses FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.42

MON 3 of 8 (38%) · TAP 4 of 5 (80%)67.7%

Montaneses FC won 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Tapachula Soconusco FC lost 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · H2H 2 of 4 · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Montaneses FC's level · won 5, refunded 1, lost 3

Montaneses FC or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MON 3 of 6 (50%) · TAP 4 of 5 (80%)64.8%

Montaneses FC: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 2 of 4 · Montaneses FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Montaneses FC's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MON 6 of 6 (100%) · TAP 5 of 5 (100%)93.5%

Montaneses FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · Montaneses FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Montaneses FC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.18

MON 6 of 6 (100%) · TAP 5 of 5 (100%)86%

Montaneses FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · Montaneses FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Montaneses FC's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.58

MON 5 of 6 (83%) · TAP 3 of 5 (60%)62.1%

Montaneses FC: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 3 of 4 · Montaneses FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Montaneses FC's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 65%

1.53

MON 6 of 6 (100%) · TAP 2 of 5 (40%)38%

Montaneses FC: both scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC: both scored in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 4 · Montaneses FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Montaneses FC's level

MONTANESES FC GOALS

Montaneses FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MON 6 of 6 (100%) · TAP 4 of 5 (80%)81.7%

Montaneses FC scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 4 · Montaneses FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Montaneses FC's level

TAPACHULA SOCONUSCO FC GOALS

Tapachula Soconusco FC Over 0.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 73%

1.37

TAP 3 of 5 (60%) · MON 6 of 6 (100%)49.8%

Tapachula Soconusco FC scored in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Montaneses FC conceded in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 4 · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Montaneses FC's level · Montaneses FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level

HALVES

1st Half - GG/NG: NoBACKUPPAGE ONLY

1.23

MON 5 of 6 (83%) · TAP 4 of 5 (80%)80.7%

Montaneses FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · Montaneses FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Montaneses FC's level

2nd Half - Montaneses FC Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.44

MON 4 of 6 (67%) · TAP 4 of 5 (80%)73.6%

Montaneses FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · Montaneses FC: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Montaneses FC's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Montaneses FC Over 1.5 goals (Montaneses FC's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.6%

Montaneses FC goals →

Tapachula Soconusco FC goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-08%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.7%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.8%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.4%

1-40.7%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

MONTANESES FCLWWLDDLLWL1.10 PPG

TAPACHULA SOCONUSCO FCWWWLDLLWLL1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MONTANESES FC HOMExTAPACHULA SOCONUSCO FC AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME1.401.70CONCEDED A GAME1.8010%CLEAN SHEETS20%0%FAILED TO SCORE40%3.33CORNERS A GAME5.003.17CARDS A GAME3.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.83POINTS A GAME0.60-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.80-1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.00.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.66LEAGUE GAMES5

Montaneses FC: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

74%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

66%

NO · 85/90

MONTANESES FC OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

TAPACHULA SOCONUSCO FC OR DRAW

42%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MONTANESES FCxTAPACHULA SOCONUSCO FC

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.002.20CONCEDED A GAME2.803.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%100%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

MONTANESES FC 2 · 50%DRAW 0TAPACHULA SOCONUSCO FC 2 · 50%

3 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-10-16Montaneses FC 4 – 1 Tapachula Soconusco FC

2025-02-23Montaneses FC 2 – 3 Tapachula Soconusco FC

2025-10-19Montaneses FC 2 – 0 Tapachula Soconusco FC

2026-03-10Montaneses FC 1 – 3 Tapachula Soconusco FC

TRENDS

Montaneses FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Tapachula Soconusco FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Montaneses FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Tapachula Soconusco FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards