HOHOP

18:00Sun 11 Oct

LOB

H2O Purepechas FC vs Lobos Ulmx

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Liga Primera Premier, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. H2O Purepechas FC are 18th on 1 point after 5 games, 1 point behind Tritons Vallarta. A win would take them above Tritons Vallarta. Lobos Ulmx are 14th on 4 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Chapulineros, level on points with Inter Playa del Carmen. A win would take them above Chapulineros.

Form. H2O Purepechas FC have won none, drawn one and lost four of their last five league games, 0.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L L D. Lobos Ulmx have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five league games, 0.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L D L L.

The numbers. H2O Purepechas FC score 0.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last five, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. H2O Purepechas FC average 7.5 shots (2.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Lobos Ulmx score one and concede 1.8 a game over their last five, with no clean sheets.

The case against. H2O Purepechas FC's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. Lobos Ulmx to win. A tight game. Lobos Ulmx are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lobos Ulmx.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: H2O Purepechas FC 0-1 Lobos Ulmx (9% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Lobos Ulmx the favourite), a tight game.

The league run. H2O Purepechas FC: lost their last two league games (L L L L D). Lobos Ulmx: up and down in the league (W L D L L). Not confident in Lobos Ulmx: two defeats in their last five league games to sides outside the top third.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Lobos Ulmx or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LOB 2 of 5 (40%) · HOP 5 of 5 (100%)51%

Lobos Ulmx: the bet landed in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Lobos Ulmx: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level · H2O Purepechas FC: only games against sides at Lobos Ulmx's level

Double Chance: Draw or Lobos UlmxLEANHELD · the odds board 68%

1.48

LOB 2 of 5 (40%) · HOP 5 of 5 (100%)42.8%

Lobos Ulmx unbeaten in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC failed to win 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Lobos Ulmx: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level · H2O Purepechas FC: only games against sides at Lobos Ulmx's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HOP 5 of 5 (100%) · LOB 5 of 5 (100%)97%

H2O Purepechas FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos Ulmx: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2O Purepechas FC: only games against sides at Lobos Ulmx's level · Lobos Ulmx: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HOP 5 of 5 (100%) · LOB 5 of 5 (100%)93.1%

H2O Purepechas FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos Ulmx: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2O Purepechas FC: only games against sides at Lobos Ulmx's level · Lobos Ulmx: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.28

HOP 5 of 5 (100%) · LOB 5 of 5 (100%)77.4%

H2O Purepechas FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos Ulmx: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2O Purepechas FC: only games against sides at Lobos Ulmx's level · Lobos Ulmx: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level

LOBOS ULMX GOALS

Lobos Ulmx Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LOB 4 of 5 (80%) · HOP 5 of 5 (100%)50.2%

Lobos Ulmx scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC conceded in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Lobos Ulmx: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level · H2O Purepechas FC: only games against sides at Lobos Ulmx's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HOP 5 of 5 (100%) · LOB 5 of 5 (100%)97%

H2O Purepechas FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos Ulmx: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · H2O Purepechas FC: only games against sides at Lobos Ulmx's level · Lobos Ulmx: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HOP 5 of 5 (100%) · LOB 2 of 5 (40%)70%

H2O Purepechas FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos Ulmx: the bet landed in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · H2O Purepechas FC: only games against sides at Lobos Ulmx's level · Lobos Ulmx: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 8.9%

H2O Purepechas FC goals →

Lobos Ulmx goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 5

H2O PUREPECHAS FCDLLLL0.20 PPG

LOBOS ULMXLLDLW0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

H2O PUREPECHAS FC HOMExLOBOS ULMX AWAY

0.20SCORED A GAME1.001.40CONCEDED A GAME1.800%CLEAN SHEETS0%80%FAILED TO SCORE20%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.20POINTS A GAME0.80-1.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.80–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.85LEAGUE GAMES5

Lobos Ulmx: the quality side - more points a game.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

H2O PUREPECHAS FC OR DRAW

75%

NO · 80/85

LOBOS ULMX OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

H2O PUREPECHAS FCxLOBOS ULMX

5GAMES50.20SCORED A GAME1.001.40CONCEDED A GAME1.801.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.840%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

H2O Purepechas FC have scored in 20% of their games.

Lobos Ulmx have scored in 80% of their games.

H2O Purepechas FC failed to score in 80% of their games.

Lobos Ulmx failed to score in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague tablecornerscards