Match details. Philippines Footb. League. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 10:45 Lagos time.
Form. Azkals Development Team have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. Mendiola FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W D.
The numbers. Azkals Development Team score 0.3 and concede 2.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and eight games without a goal. Azkals Development Team average 5.8 shots (2.2 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Mendiola FC score 1.1 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Mendiola FC average 7.3 shots (3.2 on target), 2.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 24% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Mendiola FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Mendiola FC the likelier winners; Mendiola FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Mendiola FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Azkals Development Team 1-2 Mendiola FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).