Match details. Ekstraklasa, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Radomiaka. The referee is Tomasz Kwiatkowski.
What's at stake. RKS Radomiak Radom are 15th on 8 points after 9 games, level on points with Wieczysta Kraków, 2 points clear of Motor Lublin. A win would take them above Wieczysta Kraków. LKP Motor Lublin are 16th on 6 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Radomiak Radom, level on points with Slask Wroclaw. A win would take them above Radomiak Radom.
Form. RKS Radomiak Radom have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W. LKP Motor Lublin have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L.
The numbers. RKS Radomiak Radom score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. RKS Radomiak Radom average 12.8 shots (4.6 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. LKP Motor Lublin score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. LKP Motor Lublin average 11.5 shots (4.3 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings RKS Radomiak Radom have won none, drawn two and lost two. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 6 Apr 2026, it finished RKS Radomiak Radom 1-1 LKP Motor Lublin: RKS Radomiak Radom had 17 shots to 14, 46% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 74% on the records (RKS Radomiak Radom: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; LKP Motor Lublin: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: RKS Radomiak Radom or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); LKP Motor Lublin or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); RKS Radomiak Radom or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: RKS Radomiak Radom 2-1 LKP Motor Lublin (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).