INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE ELITE

ANALN

19:15Mon 12 Oct

FKN

Al Nassr Club vs FK Neftchi Fargona

CLASS A

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class A

ANv

Over 1.5 Goals

Al Nassr Club v FK Neftchi Fargona

International Clubs -… · 19:15

1.11odds

90%book

-2edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. This is an AFC Champions League Elite, League Phase - 2 match. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 19:15 Lagos time. It's at Al-Awwal Park in Riyadh. Referee is Ma Ning.

What's at stake. Al Nassr Club sit 16th on 0 points after 1 game, level with Al Sadd. A win would lift them above Al Sadd. FK Neftchi Fargona are 6th on 3 points after 1 game, level with Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and one point clear of Pakhtakor. A win would move them above Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.

Form. Al Nassr Club have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L, and in this competition they have gone L. FK Neftchi Fargona have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L, and in this competition they have gone W.

The numbers. Al Nassr Club score 2.3 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets, averaging 16.1 shots (6.0 on target), 9.0 corners, 1.8 cards and 56% possession. FK Neftchi Fargona score 2.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets, averaging 12.0 shots (5.9 on target), 7.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side, their goals for and against point to an open game and their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.11, 88% on the records (Al Nassr Club: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10; FK Neftchi Fargona: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10). Leave: Al Nassr Club or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Al Nassr Club Over 0.5 Goals (FK Neftchi Fargona's own games don't back it (4 of 10)). Predicted score: Al Nassr Club 3-0 FK Neftchi Fargona (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.11

ALN 10 of 10 (100%) · FKN 7 of 10 (70%)88%

Al Nassr Club: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Neftchi Fargona: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.38

ALN 9 of 10 (90%) · FKN 7 of 10 (70%)70.3%

Al Nassr Club: over 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Neftchi Fargona: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.19

ALN 10 of 10 (100%) · FKN 6 of 10 (60%)80%

Al Nassr Club: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Neftchi Fargona: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Al Nassr Club or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Al Nassr Club Over 0.5 Goals (FK Neftchi Fargona's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 3–0 11.4%

Al Nassr Club goals →

FK Neftchi Fargona goals ↓

0-03%

1-07%

2-012%

3-011%

4-08%

5-05%

0-11%

1-16%

2-18%

3-18%

4-16%

5-13%

0-20.6%

1-22%

2-23%

3-23%

4-22%

5-21%

0-30.1%

1-30.4%

2-30.6%

3-30.6%

4-30.4%

5-30.3%

0-40.0%

1-40.1%

2-40.1%

3-40.1%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

AL NASSR CLUBWWWWWLWDLW2.20 PPG

FK NEFTCHI FARGONAWWLWWLWWWD2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AL NASSR CLUB HOMExFK NEFTCHI FARGONA AWAY

2.30SCORED A GAME2.101.20CONCEDED A GAME1.3030%CLEAN SHEETS60%0%FAILED TO SCORE13%9.00CORNERS A GAME7.671.75CARDS A GAME1.89

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.38POINTS A GAME1.89+1.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.44+4.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES9

Al Nassr Club: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

79%

NO · 85/90

AL NASSR CLUB OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

FK NEFTCHI FARGONA OR DRAW

26%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AL NASSR CLUBxFK NEFTCHI FARGONA

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.601.00CONCEDED A GAME2.602.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE80%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–13.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Al Nassr Club have scored in 90% of their games.

FK Neftchi Fargona have scored in 100% of their games.

Al Nassr Club kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

FK Neftchi Fargona kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards