Al Wasl FC vs Al Ahli Saudi FC
Match details. AFC Champions League Elite, League Phase - 2. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. The match is at Zabeel Stadium, Dubai.
What's at stake. Al Wasl FC sit 11th on 0 points after one game, one point behind Al-Ahli Jeddah and level with Al-Gharafa. A win would lift them above Al-Ahli Jeddah. Al Ahli Saudi FC are 10th on 1 point after one game, level with Pakhtakor and one point clear of Al-Wasl FC. A win would move them above Pakhtakor.
Form. Al Wasl FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game, with a recent run of W W W L D. In this competition Al Wasl FC have gone L. Al Ahli Saudi FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game, with a recent run of W L D W L. In this competition Al Ahli Saudi FC have gone D.
The numbers. Al Wasl FC score 3.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. They average 14.2 shots (5.2 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game, holding 50% of the ball. Al Ahli Saudi FC score 1.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. They average 14.4 shots (5.4 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game, holding 51% of the ball.
Head to head. The last meeting was on 30 Sep 2024, ending Al Wasl FC 0-2 Al Ahli Saudi FC. Al Wasl FC had 11 shots to 3, 59% of the ball and one yellow card.
The case against. Al Wasl FC's record still gives them 55% to win.
The read. Al Ahli Saudi FC or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Al Wasl FC the likelier winners; Al Wasl FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Wasl FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 92%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 92% on the records (Al Wasl FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6; Al Ahli Saudi FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Al Wasl FC 2-2 Al Ahli Saudi FC (6% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).