WPWEL

03:00Sun 18 Oct

MEL

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. A-League, Regular Season - 1. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 03:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sky Stadium, Wellington.

What's at stake. Wellington Phoenix FC are 7th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Sydney, level on points with Melbourne Victory. A win would take them above Sydney. Melbourne Victory are 8th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Wellington Phoenix, level on points with Melbourne City. A win would take them above Wellington Phoenix.

Team news. Wellington Phoenix FC are without N. Walker (inactive), N. Walker (inactive). Melbourne Victory are without J. Reec (injury), J. Reec (injury).

Form. Wellington Phoenix FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. Melbourne Victory have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W D.

The numbers. Wellington Phoenix FC score one and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Wellington Phoenix FC average 13.6 shots (3.9 on target), 7.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Melbourne Victory score 1.3 and concede 0.1 a game in their last seven away, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal. Melbourne Victory average 16.2 shots (4.7 on target), 6.3 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Wellington Phoenix FC have won three, drawn two and lost four. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Wellington Phoenix FC won one and Melbourne Victory won three. The last time they met, on 5 Apr 2026, it finished Wellington Phoenix FC 1-0 Melbourne Victory: Wellington Phoenix FC had 14 shots to 10, 51% of the ball, three yellow cards.

The read. Melbourne Victory to win. A tight game. Melbourne Victory are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Melbourne Victory. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Melbourne Victory are a clear winner, no Unders); Melbourne Victory or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Melbourne Victory or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Wellington Phoenix FC 0-1 Melbourne Victory (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Melbourne Victory win or both teams scorePAGE ONLY

1.16

WEL 4 of 7 (57%) · MEL 5 of 6 (83%)74.8%

Melbourne Victory: the bet landed in 4 of 7 away · Wellington Phoenix FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 4 of 6 · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Melbourne Victory's level

Double Chance: Draw or Melbourne VictoryPAGE ONLY

1.35

WEL 7 of 7 (100%) · MEL 5 of 6 (83%)68.5%

Melbourne Victory unbeaten in 7 of 7 away · Wellington Phoenix FC failed to win 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · H2H 4 of 6 · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Melbourne Victory's level

Melbourne Victory (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.60

WEL 4 of 5 (80%) · MEL 4 of 5 (80%)68.3%

Melbourne Victory won 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Wellington Phoenix FC lost 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Melbourne Victory's level · won 5, refunded 4, lost 2

Melbourne Victory 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.51

WEL 2 of 5 (40%) · MEL 4 of 7 (57%)54.6%

Melbourne Victory scored first 2 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 4 of 7 away · Wellington Phoenix FC trailed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Melbourne Victory's level

MELBOURNE VICTORY GOALS

Melbourne Victory Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.16

WEL 4 of 7 (57%) · MEL 5 of 6 (83%)78.3%

Melbourne Victory scored in 4 of 7 away · Wellington Phoenix FC conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 4 of 6 · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Melbourne Victory's level

HALVES

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.29

WEL 6 of 6 (100%) · MEL 7 of 7 (100%)86.3%

Wellington Phoenix FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Melbourne Victory: the bet landed in 7 of 7 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Melbourne Victory's level

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.16

WEL 4 of 6 (67%) · MEL 7 of 7 (100%)73.8%

Wellington Phoenix FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Melbourne Victory: the bet landed in 7 of 7 away · both last 10: 78% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Melbourne Victory's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.60

WEL 4 of 6 (67%) · MEL 6 of 7 (86%)68.9%

Wellington Phoenix FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Melbourne Victory: the bet landed in 6 of 7 away · both last 10: 73% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Melbourne Victory's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Melbourne Victory are a clear winner - no Unders); Melbourne Victory or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Melbourne Victory or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Melbourne Victory are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Melbourne Victory or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (74%) and the records (94%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (Melbourne Victory are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 10.1%

Wellington Phoenix FC goals →

Melbourne Victory goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

WELLINGTON PHOENIX FCLWLWWWDLLD1.40 PPG

MELBOURNE VICTORYWDDWDDWLWD1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

WELLINGTON PHOENIX FC HOMExMELBOURNE VICTORY AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.401.70CONCEDED A GAME0.4020%CLEAN SHEETS70%7.50CORNERS A GAME6.331.62CARDS A GAME1.171.34xG1.521.49xG AGAINST1.31

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

649 OF 684

NO PRICE YET

The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9

WELLINGTON PHOENIX FC 3 · 33%DRAW 2MELBOURNE VICTORY 4 · 44%

4 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-01-19Wellington Phoenix FC 1 – 1 Melbourne Victory

2024-04-12Wellington Phoenix FC 1 – 0 Melbourne Victory

2024-05-12Wellington Phoenix FC 0 – 0 Melbourne Victory

2024-11-24Wellington Phoenix FC 1 – 0 Melbourne Victory

2025-02-14Wellington Phoenix FC 0 – 1 Melbourne Victory

2025-04-12Wellington Phoenix FC 2 – 3 Melbourne Victory

2025-12-29Wellington Phoenix FC 1 – 5 Melbourne Victory

2026-02-06Wellington Phoenix FC 2 – 3 Melbourne Victory

TEAM NEWS

WELLINGTON PHOENIX FC

Out: N. Walker (Inactive), N. Walker (Inactive)

MELBOURNE VICTORY

Out: J. Reec (Injury), J. Reec (Injury)

TRENDS

Wellington Phoenix FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Melbourne Victory have scored in 60% of their games.

Wellington Phoenix FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Melbourne Victory kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards