LSLJU

12:00Sat 17 Oct

IKB

Ljungskile SK vs IK Brage

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Superettan, Regular Season - 27. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Skarsjövallen, Ljungskile. The referee is Farouk Nehdi.

What's at stake. Ljungskile SK are 11th on 29 points after 26 games, 1 point behind Helsingborg, level on points with IFK Varnamo. A win would take them above Helsingborg. IK Brage are 14th on 26 points after 26 games, 1 point behind Norrby IF, 1 point clear of Orebro SK. A win would take them above Norrby IF.

Form. Ljungskile SK have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D. In this competition Ljungskile SK have gone D L L W D L. IK Brage have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D L. In this competition IK Brage have gone W L D D L L.

The numbers. Ljungskile SK score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Ljungskile SK average 14.3 shots (5.5 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. IK Brage score 1.3 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. IK Brage average 9.3 shots (3.7 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last three meetings Ljungskile SK have won one, drawn one and lost one. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 9 Jun 2026, it finished Ljungskile SK 2-2 IK Brage: seven yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Ljungskile SK 1-1 IK Brage (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.23

LJU 4 of 5 (80%) · IKB 7 of 10 (70%)88.5%

Ljungskile SK: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · IK Brage: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 3 · Ljungskile SK: only games against sides at IK Brage's level · IK Brage: only games against sides at Ljungskile SK's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.17

LJU 3 of 5 (60%) · IKB 9 of 10 (90%)71.9%

Ljungskile SK: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · IK Brage: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 2 of 3 · Ljungskile SK: only games against sides at IK Brage's level · IK Brage: only games against sides at Ljungskile SK's level

IK BRAGE GOALS

IK Brage Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.28

LJU 8 of 10 (80%) · IKB 5 of 5 (100%)66.5%

IK Brage scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ljungskile SK conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 2 of 3 · IK Brage: only games against sides at Ljungskile SK's level · Ljungskile SK: only games against sides at IK Brage's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.9%

Ljungskile SK goals →

IK Brage goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

LJUNGSKILE SKDLLDLDWLLD0.70 PPG

IK BRAGEWLDLLLDDLW0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LJUNGSKILE SK HOMExIK BRAGE AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.301.60CONCEDED A GAME1.9020%CLEAN SHEETS10%35%FAILED TO SCORE23%5.00CORNERS A GAME4.001.17CARDS A GAME1.50

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.86POINTS A GAME0.89-0.43GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.67–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.87LEAGUE GAMES9

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

64%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 85/90

LJUNGSKILE SK OR DRAW

70%

NO · 80/85

IK BRAGE OR DRAW

37%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LJUNGSKILE SKxIK BRAGE

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.201.80CONCEDED A GAME1.803.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3

LJUNGSKILE SK 1 · 33%DRAW 1IK BRAGE 1 · 33%

2 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED

2 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS

2020-07-08Ljungskile SK 1 – 3 IK Brage

2020-10-22Ljungskile SK 1 – 0 IK Brage

2026-06-09Ljungskile SK 2 – 2 IK Brage

TRENDS

Ljungskile SK have scored in 60% of their games.

IK Brage have scored in 70% of their games.

Ljungskile SK kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

IK Brage kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards