Match details. Chinese Super League. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 12:35 Lagos time.
Form. Henan have won one, drawn eight and lost one of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D D. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D.
The numbers. Henan score 0.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Henan average 5.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger score 1.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger average 4.4 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.34, 75% on the records (Henan: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9; Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Henan 1-1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).