DIJDIJ

19:45Mon 12 Oct

MET

MET

Dijon vs Metz

CLASS E

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class E

DIJv

MET

Under 3.5 Goals

Dijon v Metz

France - Ligue 2 · 19:45

1.44odds

69%book

+14edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. Ligue 2. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.

Form. Dijon have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L D. Metz have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D.

The numbers. Dijon score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Dijon average 10.8 shots (4.8 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Metz score 1.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Metz average 11.4 shots (3.8 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 50%.

The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.43, 74% on the records (Dijon: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7; Metz: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: Dijon Over 0.5 Goals at 1.26. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Dijon or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Dijon or Draw (no result call); Dijon 1UP (no result call). Predicted score: Dijon 1-1 Metz (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.17

DIJ 5 of 7 (71%) · MET 6 of 7 (86%)92.3%

Dijon: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Metz: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Dijon: only games against sides at Metz's level · Metz: only games against sides at Dijon's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.44

DIJ 5 of 7 (71%) · MET 5 of 7 (71%)83.4%

Dijon: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Metz: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Dijon: only games against sides at Metz's level · Metz: only games against sides at Dijon's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

2.05

DIJ 4 of 7 (57%) · MET 4 of 7 (57%)51.1%

Dijon: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Metz: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 57% · Dijon: only games against sides at Metz's level · Metz: only games against sides at Dijon's level

DIJON GOALS

Dijon Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPLEANIN CODES

1.26

DIJ 6 of 7 (86%) · MET 6 of 7 (86%)65.8%

Dijon scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Metz conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Dijon: only games against sides at Metz's level · Metz: only games against sides at Dijon's level

METZ GOALS

Metz Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.23

DIJ 5 of 7 (71%) · MET 7 of 7 (100%)62.5%

Metz scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Dijon conceded in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Metz: only games against sides at Dijon's level · Dijon: only games against sides at Metz's level

Metz Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.67

DIJ 4 of 7 (57%) · MET 5 of 7 (71%)60.1%

Metz scored under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Dijon conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · Metz: only games against sides at Dijon's level · Dijon: only games against sides at Metz's level

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.51

DIJ 5 of 7 (71%) · MET 5 of 7 (71%)71.4%

Dijon: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Metz: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · on half-time scores · Dijon: only games against sides at Metz's level · Metz: only games against sides at Dijon's level

Left off the list: Dijon or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Dijon or Draw (no result call); Dijon 1UP (no result call); Dijon or draw and under 3.5 goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

Dijon goals →

Metz goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

DIJONWWDLDLDWWL1.50 PPG

METZDLWDDDWDLL1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

DIJON HOMExMETZ AWAY

1.43SCORED A GAME1.431.43CONCEDED A GAME1.000%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.43CORNERS A GAME4.571.70CARDS A GAME1.60

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.29POINTS A GAME1.20+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.40-2.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.21.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.27LEAGUE GAMES5

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

41%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

72%

NO · 85/90

DIJON OR DRAW

70%

NO · 80/85

METZ OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

DIJONxMETZ

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME1.003.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%100%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Dijon have scored in 90% of their games.

Metz have scored in 60% of their games.

Dijon kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

Metz kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards