AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou
Match details. 1st Division. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. AEK Larnaca have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. Omonia Aradippou have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D W.
The numbers. AEK Larnaca score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AEK Larnaca average 9.2 shots (4.9 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Omonia Aradippou score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Omonia Aradippou average 11.2 shots (3.9 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 71% against the records' 46%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No firm call: AEK Larnaca are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. AEK Larnaca are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AEK Larnaca. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, 74% on the records (AEK Larnaca: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7; Omonia Aradippou: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: AEK Larnaca or Both Teams Score at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: AEK Larnaca Over 1.5 goals (Omonia Aradippou's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (AEK Larnaca are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (AEK Larnaca are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: AEK Larnaca 2-1 Omonia Aradippou (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).