Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Alberto Braglia, Modena. The referee is Alberto Ruben Arena.
What's at stake. Modena FC are 6th on 10 points after 5 games, level on points with Avellino, level on points with Pisa. A win would take them above Avellino. Hellas Verona are 9th on 7 points after 5 games, 3 points behind Benevento, level on points with Padova. A win would take them level on points with Benevento.
Form. Modena FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. Hellas Verona have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D.
The numbers. Modena FC score 1.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Modena FC average 13.2 shots (5.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Hellas Verona score 1.5 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Hellas Verona average 11.8 shots (4.4 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
The case against. Hellas Verona's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Modena FC or the draw. An open game. Modena FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their xG points to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Modena FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Hellas Verona Under 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Modena FC or draw and both teams score (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Modena FC 2-1 Hellas Verona (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Modena FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MOD 5 of 9 (56%) · HEL 5 of 5 (100%)77.1%
Modena FC: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Modena FC: only games against sides at Hellas Verona's level · Hellas Verona: only games against sides at Modena FC's level
Modena FC or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.20
MOD 4 of 5 (80%) · HEL 5 of 9 (56%)71.9%
Modena FC scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Modena FC: only games against sides at Hellas Verona's level · Hellas Verona: only games against sides at Modena FC's level
Modena FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
1.22
MOD 5 of 9 (56%) · HEL 4 of 5 (80%)69.6%
Modena FC: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Modena FC: only games against sides at Hellas Verona's level · Hellas Verona: only games against sides at Modena FC's level
Modena FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.48
MOD 4 of 8 (50%) · HEL 4 of 7 (57%)65.2%
Modena FC won 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Hellas Verona lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 54% · Modena FC: only games against sides at Hellas Verona's level · won 3, refunded 2, lost 3
Modena FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.54
MOD 3 of 5 (60%) · HEL 4 of 9 (44%)61.5%
Modena FC scored first 1 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona trailed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Modena FC: only games against sides at Hellas Verona's level · Hellas Verona: only games against sides at Modena FC's level
Modena FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.42
MOD 4 of 9 (44%) · HEL 4 of 5 (80%)52.9%
Modena FC: the bet landed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Modena FC: only games against sides at Hellas Verona's level · Hellas Verona: only games against sides at Modena FC's level
Modena FC to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
2.10
MOD 4 of 9 (44%) · HEL 2 of 5 (40%)45.1%
Modena FC won 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona lost 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 42% · Modena FC: only games against sides at Hellas Verona's level · Hellas Verona: only games against sides at Modena FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.80
MOD 4 of 9 (44%) · HEL 4 of 5 (80%)59.2%
Modena FC: both scored in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona: both scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Modena FC: only games against sides at Hellas Verona's level · Hellas Verona: only games against sides at Modena FC's level
MODENA FC GOALS
Modena FC Over 0.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.23
MOD 5 of 9 (56%) · HEL 4 of 5 (80%)69.6%
Modena FC scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona conceded in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Modena FC: only games against sides at Hellas Verona's level · Hellas Verona: only games against sides at Modena FC's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsIN CODES
1.41
MOD 5 of 9 (56%) · HEL 5 of 5 (100%)77.8%
Modena FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Modena FC: only games against sides at Hellas Verona's level · Hellas Verona: only games against sides at Modena FC's level
Left off the list: Modena FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Hellas Verona Under 1.5 goals (the numbers (50%) and the records (80%) are 30 points apart, and nothing settles it); Modena FC or draw and both teams score (the numbers (44%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 1.5 first-half goals (the numbers (63%) and the records (84%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–18.3%
Modena FC goals →
Hellas Verona goals ↓
0-04%
1-05%
2-05%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-15%
1-110%
2-18%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-25%
1-28%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-33%
1-35%
2-34%
3-32%
4-30.9%
5-30.3%
0-41%
1-42%
2-42%
3-40.9%
4-40.4%
5-40.1%
0-50.4%
1-50.6%
2-50.5%
3-50.3%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
MODENA FCLWLLLWWLDW1.30 PPG
HELLAS VERONALDLDLDWWLW1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MODENA FC HOMExHELLAS VERONA AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.501.10CONCEDED A GAME1.4010%CLEAN SHEETS10%20%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.00CORNERS A GAME5.202.20CARDS A GAME2.301.34xG2.020.66xG AGAINST1.08
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME1.40+0.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.60+9.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.45LEAGUE GAMES5
Modena FC: the quality side - more points a game.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
71%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
MODENA FC OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
HELLAS VERONA OR DRAW
53%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MODENA FCxHELLAS VERONA
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME2.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.402.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Modena FC have scored in 60% of their games.
Hellas Verona have scored in 80% of their games.
Modena FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Hellas Verona kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards