VVVIR

17:30Sun 11 Oct

ACC

Virtus Verona vs AC Chievo Verona

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group B, Group B - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini, Verona.

What's at stake. Virtus Verona are 11th on 8 points after 6 games, level on points with Real Calepina, 1 point clear of Villa Valle. A win would take them above Real Calepina. AC Chievo Verona are 1st on 15 points after 6 games, level on points with Nibbiano & Valtidone.

Form. Virtus Verona have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W. AC Chievo Verona have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W.

The numbers. Virtus Verona score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Virtus Verona average 9.3 shots (2.7 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.3 cards a game. AC Chievo Verona score two and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. AC Chievo Verona average 8.2 shots (2.4 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

The case against. Virtus Verona's record still gives them 23% to win.

The read. AC Chievo Verona to win. A tight game. AC Chievo Verona are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AC Chievo Verona. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AC Chievo Verona or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); AC Chievo Verona 1UP (the signs point different ways); AC Chievo Verona or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Virtus Verona 0-1 AC Chievo Verona (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

AC Chievo Verona or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VIR 7 of 8 (88%) · ACC 5 of 6 (83%)85.4%

AC Chievo Verona: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Virtus Verona: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · AC Chievo Verona: only games against sides at Virtus Verona's level · Virtus Verona: only games against sides at AC Chievo Verona's level

AC Chievo Verona or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

VIR 4 of 5 (80%) · ACC 4 of 5 (80%)75.6%

AC Chievo Verona scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Virtus Verona trailed or failed to win in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues)

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VIR 6 of 6 (100%) · ACC 7 of 8 (88%)94.8%

Virtus Verona: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AC Chievo Verona: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Virtus Verona: only games against sides at AC Chievo Verona's level · AC Chievo Verona: only games against sides at Virtus Verona's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VIR 6 of 6 (100%) · ACC 6 of 8 (75%)87.2%

Virtus Verona: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AC Chievo Verona: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Virtus Verona: only games against sides at AC Chievo Verona's level · AC Chievo Verona: only games against sides at Virtus Verona's level

AC CHIEVO VERONA GOALS

AC Chievo Verona Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VIR 7 of 8 (88%) · ACC 4 of 6 (67%)70.1%

AC Chievo Verona scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Virtus Verona conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · AC Chievo Verona: only games against sides at Virtus Verona's level · Virtus Verona: only games against sides at AC Chievo Verona's level

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VIR 5 of 6 (83%) · ACC 5 of 5 (100%)91.7%

Virtus Verona's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AC Chievo Verona's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92%

Left off the list: AC Chievo Verona or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); AC Chievo Verona 1UP (the numbers (49%) and the records (59%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); AC Chievo Verona or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 7.9%

Virtus Verona goals →

AC Chievo Verona goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

VIRTUS VERONADDLDDWDWLL1.10 PPG

AC CHIEVO VERONADDWWWWWLWL2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

VIRTUS VERONA HOMExAC CHIEVO VERONA AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME2.001.50CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS30%33%FAILED TO SCORE17%4.83CORNERS A GAME4.201.33CARDS A GAME3.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.60POINTS A GAME2.40+0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.40–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.45LEAGUE GAMES5

AC Chievo Verona: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

AC CHIEVO VERONA 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

61%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

29%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

86%

OKAY · 85/90

VIRTUS VERONA OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

AC CHIEVO VERONA OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

VIRTUS VERONAxAC CHIEVO VERONA

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME2.400.80CONCEDED A GAME1.001.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.440%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Virtus Verona have scored in 80% of their games.

AC Chievo Verona have scored in 90% of their games.

Virtus Verona kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

AC Chievo Verona kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards