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ITALY - SERIE B
Calcio Padova crestCPCAL
16:15Sun 11 Oct
CARCarrarese Calcio crestCC

Calcio Padova vs Carrarese Calcio

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:15 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padua. The referee is Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta.

What's at stake. Calcio Padova are 10th on 7 points after 5 games, level on points with Hellas Verona, level on points with Cesena. A win would take them above Hellas Verona. Carrarese Calcio are 20th on 1 point after 5 games, 1 point behind Juve Stabia. A win would take them above Juve Stabia.

Form. Calcio Padova have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. Carrarese Calcio have won none, drawn one and lost four of their last five, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L.

The numbers. Calcio Padova score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last five, with two clean sheets. Calcio Padova average 12.2 shots (4.0 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. Carrarese Calcio score 0.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last five, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Carrarese Calcio average 12.2 shots (3.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 39% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Calcio Padova have won one, drawn one and lost none. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 10 Feb 2026, it finished Calcio Padova 1-0 Carrarese Calcio: Calcio Padova had 13 shots to 22, 36% of the ball, five yellow cards.

The case against. Carrarese Calcio's record still gives them 20% to win.

The read. Calcio Padova to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Calcio Padova the likelier winners; Calcio Padova are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Calcio Padova. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Calcio Padova 1-0 Carrarese Calcio (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Calcio Padova or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.20
CAL 3 of 5 (60%) · CAR 5 of 5 (100%)80%
Calcio Padova: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Carrarese Calcio: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at Carrarese Calcio's level · Carrarese Calcio: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level
Double Chance: Calcio Padova or DrawIN CODES
1.24
CAL 3 of 5 (60%) · CAR 5 of 5 (100%)75.9%
Calcio Padova unbeaten in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Carrarese Calcio failed to win 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at Carrarese Calcio's level · Carrarese Calcio: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level
Calcio Padova to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.46
CAL 3 of 5 (60%) · CAR 4 of 5 (80%)70%
Calcio Padova: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Carrarese Calcio: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at Carrarese Calcio's level · Carrarese Calcio: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level
1st Half Result or Match Result: Calcio PadovaPAGE ONLY
1.57
CAL 3 of 5 (60%) · CAR 4 of 5 (80%)70%
Calcio Padova: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Carrarese Calcio: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at Carrarese Calcio's level · Carrarese Calcio: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.13
CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · CAR 5 of 5 (100%)89.7%
Calcio Padova: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Carrarese Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at Carrarese Calcio's level · Carrarese Calcio: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.37
CAL 4 of 5 (80%) · CAR 5 of 5 (100%)76.7%
Calcio Padova: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Carrarese Calcio: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at Carrarese Calcio's level · Carrarese Calcio: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level
CALCIO PADOVA GOALS
Calcio Padova Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.19
CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · CAR 5 of 5 (100%)77.3%
Calcio Padova scored in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Carrarese Calcio conceded in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at Carrarese Calcio's level · Carrarese Calcio: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level
CARRARESE CALCIO GOALS
Carrarese Calcio Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.35
CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · CAR 3 of 5 (60%)74.6%
Carrarese Calcio scored under 1.5 in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Calcio Padova conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Carrarese Calcio: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at Carrarese Calcio's level
HALVES
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.10
CAL 4 of 5 (80%) · CAR 5 of 5 (100%)90%
Calcio Padova: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Carrarese Calcio: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at Carrarese Calcio's level · Carrarese Calcio: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.44
CAL 3 of 5 (60%) · CAR 5 of 5 (100%)80%
Calcio Padova: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Carrarese Calcio: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at Carrarese Calcio's level · Carrarese Calcio: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.20
CAL 3 of 5 (60%) · CAR 5 of 5 (100%)80%
Calcio Padova: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Carrarese Calcio: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at Carrarese Calcio's level · Carrarese Calcio: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAL 4 of 5 (80%) · CAR 3 of 5 (60%)70%
Calcio Padova's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Carrarese Calcio's games: over 2.5 cards in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Calcio Padova: only games against sides at Carrarese Calcio's level · Carrarese Calcio: only games against sides at Calcio Padova's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 12%
Calcio Padova goals →
Carrarese Calcio goals ↓
0-09%
1-012%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-26%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-31%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.7%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 5
CALCIO PADOVAWDLWL1.40 PPG
CARRARESE CALCIOLDLLL0.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CALCIO PADOVA HOMExCARRARESE CALCIO AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME0.401.20CONCEDED A GAME1.2040%CLEAN SHEETS0%0%FAILED TO SCORE60%5.20CORNERS A GAME5.602.60CARDS A GAME1.401.13xG0.972.05xG AGAINST1.45
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.40POINTS A GAME0.20-0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.80-2.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.81.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.25LEAGUE GAMES5
Calcio Padova: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
44%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
28%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CALCIO PADOVA OR DRAW
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
CARRARESE CALCIO OR DRAW
53%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CALCIO PADOVAxCARRARESE CALCIO
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.401.20CONCEDED A GAME1.202.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
CALCIO PADOVA 1 · 50%DRAW 1CARRARESE CALCIO 0 · 0%
2025-08-31Calcio Padova 0 – 0 Carrarese Calcio
2026-02-10Calcio Padova 1 – 0 Carrarese Calcio
TRENDS
Calcio Padova failed to score in 0% of their games.
Carrarese Calcio failed to score in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecornerscards
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