Match details. 2. Liga, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Matije Gubca.
What's at stake. NK Krsko Posavje are 13th on 9 points after 9 games, level on points with Primorje, 2 points clear of Krka. A win would take them above Primorje. Triglav Kranj are 3rd on 19 points after 9 games, 3 points behind Beltinci, 2 points clear of Jesenice. A win would take them level on points with Beltinci.
Form. NK Krsko Posavje have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. Triglav Kranj have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L.
The numbers. NK Krsko Posavje score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. NK Krsko Posavje average 9.7 shots (3.4 on target), 2.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Triglav Kranj score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Triglav Kranj average 10.0 shots (5.1 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings NK Krsko Posavje have won none, drawn one and lost eight. Eight of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, one was drawn and Triglav Kranj won three. The last time they met, on 24 Apr 2026, it finished NK Krsko Posavje 0-4 Triglav Kranj.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 73% against the records' 52%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No firm call: Triglav Kranj are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Triglav Kranj are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Triglav Kranj; the meetings favour Triglav Kranj. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%. Eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 75% on the records (NK Krsko Posavje: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home; Triglav Kranj: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or Triglav Kranj at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Triglav Kranj or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: NK Krsko Posavje 1-2 Triglav Kranj (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).