GELGEL

15:00Sun 11 Oct

SSM

Gela vs SS Milazzo

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group I, Group I - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Gela are 15th on 4 points after 6 games, level on points with CastrumFavara, 2 points clear of Ragusa. A win would take them above CastrumFavara. SS Milazzo are 8th on 9 points after 6 games, level on points with Digiesse PraiaTortora, 1 point clear of AC Palermo. A win would take them above Digiesse PraiaTortora.

Form. Gela have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. SS Milazzo have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.

The numbers. Gela score 0.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Gela average 1.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. SS Milazzo score 0.6 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. SS Milazzo average 9.0 shots (2.7 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.3 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Gela have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 15 Mar 2026, it finished Gela 1-1 SS Milazzo.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: SS Milazzo or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); SS Milazzo Over 0.5 Goals (SS Milazzo's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Gela 1-1 SS Milazzo (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

GEL 9 of 9 (100%) · SSM 9 of 9 (100%)96.2%

Gela: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SS Milazzo: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Gela: only games against sides at SS Milazzo's level · SS Milazzo: only games against sides at Gela's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

GEL 9 of 9 (100%) · SSM 9 of 9 (100%)90%

Gela: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SS Milazzo: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Gela: only games against sides at SS Milazzo's level · SS Milazzo: only games against sides at Gela's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

GEL 8 of 9 (89%) · SSM 8 of 9 (89%)77.2%

Gela: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SS Milazzo: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Gela: only games against sides at SS Milazzo's level · SS Milazzo: only games against sides at Gela's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.57

GEL 5 of 9 (56%) · SSM 5 of 9 (56%)56.1%

Gela: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SS Milazzo: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · Gela: only games against sides at SS Milazzo's level · SS Milazzo: only games against sides at Gela's level

Left off the list: SS Milazzo or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); SS Milazzo Over 0.5 Goals (SS Milazzo's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

Gela goals →

SS Milazzo goals ↓

0-010%

1-011%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-19%

1-114%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.6%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

GELALDLDLWLDLD0.70 PPG

SS MILAZZOLLLLLWWLLW0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

GELA HOMExSS MILAZZO AWAY

0.70SCORED A GAME0.601.20CONCEDED A GAME1.3020%CLEAN SHEETS20%50%FAILED TO SCORE50%1.00CORNERS A GAME3.673.00CARDS A GAME3.33

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

55%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

GELA OR DRAW

93%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

SS MILAZZO OR DRAW

33%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

GELA 0 · 0%DRAW 1SS MILAZZO 1 · 50%

2025-11-02Gela 0 – 1 SS Milazzo

2026-03-15Gela 1 – 1 SS Milazzo

TRENDS

Gela have scored in 60% of their games.

SS Milazzo have scored in 40% of their games.

Gela kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

SS Milazzo kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards