Match details. Serie D, Group I, Group I - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Oreste Granillo, Reggio Calabria.
What's at stake. Reggina 1914 are 1st on 15 points after 6 games, 2 points clear of Vibonese. US Vibonese Calcio are 2nd on 13 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Reggina, level on points with Sambiase. A win would take them above Reggina.
Form. Reggina 1914 have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W. US Vibonese Calcio have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D.
The numbers. Reggina 1914 score 3.8 and concede none a game in their last five at home, with five clean sheets. Reggina 1914 average 6.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game. US Vibonese Calcio score two and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. US Vibonese Calcio average 11.2 shots (5.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Reggina 1914 have won five, drawn one and lost none. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Reggina 1914 won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 18 Jan 2026, it finished Reggina 1914 3-0 US Vibonese Calcio.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%; four of the last six meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. US Vibonese Calcio's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Reggina 1914 to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Reggina 1914 the likelier winners; Reggina 1914 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Reggina 1914; the meetings favour Reggina 1914. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Reggina 1914 or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Reggina 1914 or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Reggina 1914 1-0 US Vibonese Calcio (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).