Match details. Serie D, Group I, Group I - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Asd Digiesse Praiatortora are 7th on 9 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Licata, level on points with Milazzo. A win would take them above Licata. ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio are 11th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Nissa, 2 points clear of Vigor Lamezia. A win would take them above Nissa.
Form. Asd Digiesse Praiatortora have won three, drawn three and lost two of their last eight, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D D. ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio have won four, drawn two and lost three of their last nine, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L.
The numbers. Asd Digiesse Praiatortora score 1.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last eight, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Asd Digiesse Praiatortora average 5.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game. ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio average 4.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Asd Digiesse Praiatortora or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Asd Digiesse Praiatortora 1-1 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).