ACASD

14:00Sun 11 Oct

IGE

ASD Castrumfavara vs Igea Virtus Barcellona

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group I, Group I - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. ASD Castrumfavara are 14th on 4 points after 6 games, level on points with Siracusa, level on points with Gela. A win would take them above Siracusa. Igea Virtus Barcellona are 5th on 11 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Calcio Avola, level on points with Licata. A win would take them above Calcio Avola.

Form. ASD Castrumfavara have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. Igea Virtus Barcellona have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W.

The numbers. ASD Castrumfavara score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Igea Virtus Barcellona score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Igea Virtus Barcellona average 3.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last five meetings ASD Castrumfavara have won one, drawn three and lost one. Three of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, ASD Castrumfavara won one, two were drawn and Igea Virtus Barcellona won one. The last time they met, on 29 Mar 2026, it finished ASD Castrumfavara 2-3 Igea Virtus Barcellona.

The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%. Three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Igea Virtus Barcellona or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: ASD Castrumfavara 2-2 Igea Virtus Barcellona (6% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 5 of 5 (100%) · IGE 8 of 8 (100%)92.5%

ASD Castrumfavara: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Igea Virtus Barcellona: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 5 · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at Igea Virtus Barcellona's level · Igea Virtus Barcellona: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 4 of 5 (80%) · IGE 8 of 8 (100%)75.4%

ASD Castrumfavara: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Igea Virtus Barcellona: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 4 of 5 · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at Igea Virtus Barcellona's level · Igea Virtus Barcellona: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.92

ASD 3 of 5 (60%) · IGE 5 of 8 (62%)50.1%

ASD Castrumfavara: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Igea Virtus Barcellona: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 59% · H2H 3 of 5 · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at Igea Virtus Barcellona's level · Igea Virtus Barcellona: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level

IGEA VIRTUS BARCELLONA GOALS

Igea Virtus Barcellona Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 7 of 8 (88%) · IGE 4 of 5 (80%)72.2%

Igea Virtus Barcellona scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Castrumfavara conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 88% · H2H 4 of 5 · Igea Virtus Barcellona: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at Igea Virtus Barcellona's level

Left off the list: Igea Virtus Barcellona or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Igea Virtus Barcellona or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–2 5.5%

ASD Castrumfavara goals →

Igea Virtus Barcellona goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

ASD CASTRUMFAVARAWWDLWLDLLL1.10 PPG

IGEA VIRTUS BARCELLONADLWWDWWLDW1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ASD CASTRUMFAVARA HOMExIGEA VIRTUS BARCELLONA AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME2.201.50CONCEDED A GAME1.9010%CLEAN SHEETS0%50%FAILED TO SCORE17%

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

84%

NO · 85/90

ASD CASTRUMFAVARA OR DRAW

62%

NO · 80/85

IGEA VIRTUS BARCELLONA OR DRAW

54%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5

ASD CASTRUMFAVARA 1 · 20%DRAW 3IGEA VIRTUS BARCELLONA 1 · 20%

4 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-11-24ASD Castrumfavara 2 – 2 Igea Virtus Barcellona

2025-04-06ASD Castrumfavara 1 – 1 Igea Virtus Barcellona

2025-10-08ASD Castrumfavara 3 – 1 Igea Virtus Barcellona

2025-11-16ASD Castrumfavara 0 – 0 Igea Virtus Barcellona

2026-03-29ASD Castrumfavara 2 – 3 Igea Virtus Barcellona

TRENDS

ASD Castrumfavara have scored in 60% of their games.

Igea Virtus Barcellona have scored in 90% of their games.

ASD Castrumfavara kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Igea Virtus Barcellona kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague table