ASASS

14:00Sun 11 Oct

TRA

AS Sambiase vs Trapani Calcio

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group I, Group I - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. AS Sambiase are 3rd on 13 points after 6 games, level on points with Vibonese, 1 point clear of Calcio Avola. A win would take them above Vibonese. Trapani Calcio are 17th on 1 point after 6 games, 1 point behind Ragusa, level on points with Enna. A win would take them above Ragusa.

Form. AS Sambiase have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W D. Trapani Calcio have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L.

The numbers. AS Sambiase score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. AS Sambiase average 10.8 shots (4.8 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Trapani Calcio score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.

The case against. Trapani Calcio's record still gives them 28% to win.

The read. AS Sambiase to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AS Sambiase the likelier winners; AS Sambiase are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AS Sambiase. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AS Sambiase or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); AS Sambiase to Win (the signs point different ways); AS Sambiase or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AS Sambiase 1-0 Trapani Calcio (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

AS Sambiase or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASS 7 of 9 (78%) · TRA 6 of 6 (100%)88.9%

AS Sambiase: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Trapani Calcio: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · AS Sambiase: only games against sides at Trapani Calcio's level · Trapani Calcio: only games against sides at AS Sambiase's level

AS Sambiase or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASS 9 of 9 (100%) · TRA 4 of 6 (67%)83.3%

AS Sambiase: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Trapani Calcio: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · AS Sambiase: only games against sides at Trapani Calcio's level · Trapani Calcio: only games against sides at AS Sambiase's level

AS Sambiase (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASS 5 of 7 (71%) · TRA 4 of 6 (67%)69%

AS Sambiase won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Trapani Calcio lost 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 69% · AS Sambiase: only games against sides at Trapani Calcio's level · Trapani Calcio: only games against sides at AS Sambiase's level · won 5, refunded 3, lost 2

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASS 8 of 9 (89%) · TRA 6 of 6 (100%)94.4%

AS Sambiase: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Trapani Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · AS Sambiase: only games against sides at Trapani Calcio's level · Trapani Calcio: only games against sides at AS Sambiase's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASS 7 of 9 (78%) · TRA 6 of 6 (100%)88.9%

AS Sambiase: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Trapani Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · AS Sambiase: only games against sides at Trapani Calcio's level · Trapani Calcio: only games against sides at AS Sambiase's level

AS SAMBIASE GOALS

AS Sambiase Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASS 9 of 9 (100%) · TRA 4 of 6 (67%)83.3%

AS Sambiase scored in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Trapani Calcio conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · AS Sambiase: only games against sides at Trapani Calcio's level · Trapani Calcio: only games against sides at AS Sambiase's level

Left off the list: AS Sambiase or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); AS Sambiase to Win (the numbers (46%) and the records (61%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); AS Sambiase or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.4%

AS Sambiase goals →

Trapani Calcio goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AS SAMBIASEWDLDWDWWWL1.80 PPG

TRAPANI CALCIODDWLLLLWWL1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AS SAMBIASE HOMExTRAPANI CALCIO AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME1.001.10CONCEDED A GAME1.7030%CLEAN SHEETS20%0%FAILED TO SCORE50%

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

42%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

43%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AS SAMBIASE OR DRAW

84%

OKAY · 80/85

TRAPANI CALCIO OR DRAW

23%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

AS Sambiase have scored in 100% of their games.

Trapani Calcio have scored in 70% of their games.

AS Sambiase kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Trapani Calcio kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards