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ITALY - SERIE D, GROUP E
Lucchese Calcio crestLCLUC
14:00Sun 11 Oct
TERTernana Calcio crestTC

Lucchese Calcio vs Ternana Calcio

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group E, Group E - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Porta Elisa, Lucca.

What's at stake. Lucchese Calcio are 3rd on 13 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Prato, 1 point clear of Tau Altopascio. A win would take them above Prato. Ternana Calcio are 9th on 8 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Robur Siena, level on points with Terranuova Traiana. A win would take them above Robur Siena.

Form. Lucchese Calcio have won four, drawn one and lost one of their last six, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W L. Ternana Calcio have won two, drawn two and lost two of their last six, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D.

The numbers. Lucchese Calcio score 2.7 and concede 1.8 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lucchese Calcio average 12.4 shots (5.4 on target), 7.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Ternana Calcio score 1.5 and concede 0.8 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Ternana Calcio average 12.2 shots (2.5 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Lucchese Calcio have won one, drawn none and lost one. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 30 Mar 2025, it finished Lucchese Calcio 4-1 Ternana Calcio.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.

The case against. Ternana Calcio's record still gives them 25% to win.

The read. Lucchese Calcio to win. Lucchese Calcio are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lucchese Calcio.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Lucchese Calcio 1-0 Ternana Calcio (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Lucchese Calcio or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUC 5 of 6 (83%) · TER 5 of 6 (83%)83.3%
Lucchese Calcio: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Ternana Calcio: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Lucchese Calcio: only games against sides at Ternana Calcio's level · Ternana Calcio: only games against sides at Lucchese Calcio's level
Lucchese Calcio or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUC 5 of 6 (83%) · TER 4 of 6 (67%)75%
Lucchese Calcio: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Ternana Calcio: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Lucchese Calcio: only games against sides at Ternana Calcio's level · Ternana Calcio: only games against sides at Lucchese Calcio's level
Lucchese Calcio or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUC 4 of 6 (67%) · TER 4 of 6 (67%)66.7%
Lucchese Calcio: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Ternana Calcio: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Lucchese Calcio: only games against sides at Ternana Calcio's level · Ternana Calcio: only games against sides at Lucchese Calcio's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUC 5 of 6 (83%) · TER 6 of 6 (100%)94.6%
Lucchese Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Ternana Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Lucchese Calcio: only games against sides at Ternana Calcio's level · Ternana Calcio: only games against sides at Lucchese Calcio's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUC 5 of 6 (83%) · TER 5 of 6 (83%)92.4%
Lucchese Calcio: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Ternana Calcio: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Lucchese Calcio: only games against sides at Ternana Calcio's level · Ternana Calcio: only games against sides at Lucchese Calcio's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUC 2 of 6 (33%) · TER 5 of 6 (83%)86.9%
Lucchese Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Ternana Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · Lucchese Calcio: only games against sides at Ternana Calcio's level · Ternana Calcio: only games against sides at Lucchese Calcio's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUC 5 of 6 (83%) · TER 4 of 6 (67%)75.1%
Lucchese Calcio: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Ternana Calcio: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Lucchese Calcio: only games against sides at Ternana Calcio's level · Ternana Calcio: only games against sides at Lucchese Calcio's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUC 3 of 6 (50%) · TER 3 of 6 (50%)54.5%
Lucchese Calcio: both scored in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Ternana Calcio: both scored in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · Lucchese Calcio: only games against sides at Ternana Calcio's level · Ternana Calcio: only games against sides at Lucchese Calcio's level
LUCCHESE CALCIO GOALS
Lucchese Calcio Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUC 4 of 6 (67%) · TER 4 of 6 (67%)70.8%
Lucchese Calcio scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Ternana Calcio conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Lucchese Calcio: only games against sides at Ternana Calcio's level · Ternana Calcio: only games against sides at Lucchese Calcio's level
TERNANA CALCIO GOALS
Ternana Calcio Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUC 4 of 6 (67%) · TER 4 of 6 (67%)76.1%
Ternana Calcio scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Lucchese Calcio conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Ternana Calcio: only games against sides at Lucchese Calcio's level · Lucchese Calcio: only games against sides at Ternana Calcio's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 7.9%
Lucchese Calcio goals →
Ternana Calcio goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11.0%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 6
LUCCHESE CALCIOWLWDWW2.17 PPG
TERNANA CALCIOLDLWDW1.33 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LUCCHESE CALCIO HOMExTERNANA CALCIO AWAY
2.67SCORED A GAME1.501.83CONCEDED A GAME0.8333%CLEAN SHEETS33%33%FAILED TO SCORE33%7.40CORNERS A GAME3.752.60CARDS A GAME1.50
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.17POINTS A GAME1.33+0.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.33–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.66LEAGUE GAMES6
Lucchese Calcio: the quality side - more points a game.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
69%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 85/90
LUCCHESE CALCIO OR DRAW
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
TERNANA CALCIO OR DRAW
23%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LUCCHESE CALCIOxTERNANA CALCIO
5GAMES52.80SCORED A GAME1.402.00CONCEDED A GAME0.804.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
LUCCHESE CALCIO 1 · 50%DRAW 0TERNANA CALCIO 1 · 50%
2024-11-17Lucchese Calcio 0 – 5 Ternana Calcio
2025-03-30Lucchese Calcio 4 – 1 Ternana Calcio
TRENDS
Lucchese Calcio have scored in 80% of their games.
Ternana Calcio have scored in 80% of their games.
Lucchese Calcio failed to score in 33% of their games.
Ternana Calcio failed to score in 33% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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