AMAQU

14:00Sun 11 Oct

RON

Aquila Montevarchi vs Rondinella Marzocco Ssd

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group E, Group E - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Aquila Montevarchi are 12th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind San Donato Tavarnelle, level on points with Mezzolara. A win would take them above San Donato Tavarnelle. Rondinella Marzocco Ssd are 14th on 5 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Mezzolara, 1 point clear of Sasso Marconi Zola. A win would take them above Mezzolara.

Form. Aquila Montevarchi have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. Rondinella Marzocco Ssd have won two, drawn two and lost four of their last eight, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L.

The numbers. Aquila Montevarchi score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Aquila Montevarchi average 2.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Rondinella Marzocco Ssd score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Rondinella Marzocco Ssd average 12.2 shots (4.8 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.

The case against. Rondinella Marzocco Ssd's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. Aquila Montevarchi to win. Their goals for and against make Aquila Montevarchi the likelier winners; Aquila Montevarchi are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Aquila Montevarchi 1-0 Rondinella Marzocco Ssd (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Aquila Montevarchi or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AQU 6 of 9 (67%) · RON 5 of 6 (83%)75%

Aquila Montevarchi: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rondinella Marzocco Ssd: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Aquila Montevarchi: only games against sides at Rondinella Marzocco Ssd's level · Rondinella Marzocco Ssd: only games against sides at Aquila Montevarchi's level

Aquila Montevarchi or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AQU 7 of 9 (78%) · RON 4 of 6 (67%)72.2%

Aquila Montevarchi: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rondinella Marzocco Ssd: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Aquila Montevarchi: only games against sides at Rondinella Marzocco Ssd's level · Rondinella Marzocco Ssd: only games against sides at Aquila Montevarchi's level

Aquila Montevarchi or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AQU 6 of 9 (67%) · RON 4 of 6 (67%)66.7%

Aquila Montevarchi: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rondinella Marzocco Ssd: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Aquila Montevarchi: only games against sides at Rondinella Marzocco Ssd's level · Rondinella Marzocco Ssd: only games against sides at Aquila Montevarchi's level

Aquila Montevarchi or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AQU 6 of 9 (67%) · RON 4 of 6 (67%)66.7%

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AQU 9 of 9 (100%) · RON 6 of 6 (100%)96%

Aquila Montevarchi: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rondinella Marzocco Ssd: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Aquila Montevarchi: only games against sides at Rondinella Marzocco Ssd's level · Rondinella Marzocco Ssd: only games against sides at Aquila Montevarchi's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AQU 8 of 9 (89%) · RON 4 of 6 (67%)90.9%

Aquila Montevarchi: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rondinella Marzocco Ssd: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Aquila Montevarchi: only games against sides at Rondinella Marzocco Ssd's level · Rondinella Marzocco Ssd: only games against sides at Aquila Montevarchi's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AQU 7 of 9 (78%) · RON 5 of 6 (83%)89.5%

Aquila Montevarchi: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rondinella Marzocco Ssd: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Aquila Montevarchi: only games against sides at Rondinella Marzocco Ssd's level · Rondinella Marzocco Ssd: only games against sides at Aquila Montevarchi's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AQU 6 of 9 (67%) · RON 4 of 6 (67%)71.3%

Aquila Montevarchi: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rondinella Marzocco Ssd: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Aquila Montevarchi: only games against sides at Rondinella Marzocco Ssd's level · Rondinella Marzocco Ssd: only games against sides at Aquila Montevarchi's level

AQUILA MONTEVARCHI GOALS

Aquila Montevarchi Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AQU 6 of 9 (67%) · RON 4 of 6 (67%)76.8%

Aquila Montevarchi scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Rondinella Marzocco Ssd conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Aquila Montevarchi: only games against sides at Rondinella Marzocco Ssd's level · Rondinella Marzocco Ssd: only games against sides at Aquila Montevarchi's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.6%

Aquila Montevarchi goals →

Rondinella Marzocco… goals ↓

0-09%

1-012%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.7%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

AQUILA MONTEVARCHIDWLDLWDLWL1.20 PPG

RONDINELLA MARZOCCO SSDWLDLLDLW1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AQUILA MONTEVARCHI HOMExRONDINELLA MARZOCCO SSD AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.121.20CONCEDED A GAME1.8840%CLEAN SHEETS25%17%FAILED TO SCORE50%2.00CORNERS A GAME5.203.00CARDS A GAME2.40

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.17POINTS A GAME0.80+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.21.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.86LEAGUE GAMES5

Aquila Montevarchi: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

74%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

82%

NO · 85/90

AQUILA MONTEVARCHI OR DRAW

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

RONDINELLA MARZOCCO SSD OR DRAW

19%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AQUILA MONTEVARCHIxRONDINELLA MARZOCCO SSD

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.001.40CONCEDED A GAME2.003.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Aquila Montevarchi have scored in 60% of their games.

Rondinella Marzocco Ssd have scored in 62% of their games.

Aquila Montevarchi kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Rondinella Marzocco Ssd kept a clean sheet in 25% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards